Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Zions Bank Stadium (Herriman, UT).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.91
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
7	6
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
87% (395/456)	87% (374/429)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	0.14
Total shots
7	6
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
13	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	6
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
87% (395/456)	87% (374/429)
Long passes
57% (26/46)	57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
74% (70/95)	71% (87/123)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.56	0.56
Throw-ins
15	15
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
78% (7/9)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
30	41
Clearances
22	8
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.14	1.74
Goals prevented
0.14	-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Sandoval B. ⚽, Moisa L. (A), Jennings M. (A2)
42', Jennings M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Zambrano M. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
46', Rivera L. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
59', Sandoval B. ↓, Hezarkhani A. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
67', Carli E. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
71', Dodzi C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
71', Pedder R. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
74', Hezarkhani A. 🟨,
76', Anderson O. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
85', Gaffney C. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Hezarkhani A. ⚽,
89', Farnsworth Z. ↓, Amparo I. ↑,
89', Dillon G. 🟨,
90+4', Diaw B. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Real Monarchs
54.3%

Draw
23.1%

Tacoma Defiance
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.89)	3.98 ↑ (3.62)	4.08 ↑ (3.38)	8.6% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
Recent performances by Real Monarchs have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tacoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Tacoma Defiance?

Real Monarchs has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Real Monarchs?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

13.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 1:2

11.08.2024 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

26.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 3:0

Latest results of Real Monarchs

27.08.2025 The Town - Real Monarchs 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Los Angeles II 0:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Real Monarchs 0:4 ✺

03.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

24.08.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

15.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	25	16	2	2	5	64:52	54
2	New England Revolution II	24	12	5	2	5	45:30	48
3	Chicago Fire II	24	12	4	2	6	58:40	46
4	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
5	Toronto FC II	25	10	1	4	10	32:38	36
6	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
7	Cincinnati 2	24	5	7	0	12	27:35	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	24	11	4	3	6	39:35	44
2	Huntsville	25	11	4	2	8	48:31	43
3	Carolina Core	25	8	4	4	9	39:38	36
4	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
5	Atlanta United 2	24	7	2	6	9	37:39	31
6	Crown Legacy	26	6	3	5	12	44:53	29
7	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	24	12	4	2	6	52:32	46
2	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	25	11	3	1	10	57:46	40
3	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
4	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
5	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
7	Tacoma Defiance	24	7	2	2	13	53:61	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	25	16	4	1	4	56:33	57
2	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
3	Minnesota 2	25	10	2	4	9	39:38	38
4	Austin FC II	25	9	3	5	8	31:31	38
5	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
6	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
7	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	25	16	2	2	5	64:52	54
2	New England Revolution II ✔	24	12	5	2	5	45:30	48
3	Chicago Fire II ✔	24	12	4	2	6	58:40	46
4	Philadelphia Union II ✔	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
5	Chattanooga	24	11	4	3	6	39:35	44
6	Huntsville	25	11	4	2	8	48:31	43
7	Toronto FC II	25	10	1	4	10	32:38	36
8	Carolina Core	25	8	4	4	9	39:38	36
9	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
10	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
11	Atlanta United 2	24	7	2	6	9	37:39	31
12	Crown Legacy	26	6	3	5	12	44:53	29
13	Cincinnati 2	24	5	7	0	12	27:35	29
14	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	25	16	4	1	4	56:33	57
2	Town FC	24	12	4	2	6	52:32	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	25	11	3	1	10	57:46	40
5	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
6	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
7	Minnesota 2	25	10	2	4	9	39:38	38
8	Austin FC II	25	9	3	5	8	31:31	38
9	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
10	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
11	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
12	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
13	Tacoma Defiance	24	7	2	2	13	53:61	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

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