Result
3:0
31/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (395/456) | 87% (374/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (395/456) | 87% (374/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 57% (20/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (70/95) | 71% (87/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Sandoval B. ⚽, Moisa L. (A), Jennings M. (A2)
- 42', Jennings M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Zambrano M. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
- 46', Rivera L. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
- 59', Sandoval B. ↓, Hezarkhani A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
- 67', Carli E. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
- 71', Dodzi C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 71', Pedder R. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
- 74', Hezarkhani A. 🟨,
- 76', Anderson O. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
- 85', Gaffney C. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 0, Hezarkhani A. ⚽,
- 89', Farnsworth Z. ↓, Amparo I. ↑,
- 89', Dillon G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Diaw B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Monarchs
54.3% | Draw
23.1% | Tacoma Defiance
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.89) |
3.98 ↑
(3.62) |
4.08 ↑
(3.38) |
8.6%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
- Recent performances by Real Monarchs have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tacoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Tacoma Defiance?
Real Monarchs has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Real Monarchs?
Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
17.07.2025
Tacoma Defiance
-
Real Monarchs
2:3
11.06.2025
Real Monarchs
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
13.09.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Real Monarchs
1:2
11.08.2024
Real Monarchs
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
26.06.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Real Monarchs
3:0
Latest results of Real Monarchs
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
