Tacoma Defiance vs Real Monarchs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.97
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
87% (421/484)	84% (404/479)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.77	1.61
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
20	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
87% (421/484)	84% (404/479)
Long passes
61% (20/33)	50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
63% (51/81)	67% (58/86)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.99
Throw-ins
19	29
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
76% (13/17)	74% (17/23)
Duels won
47	48
Clearances
18	20
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
1.61	1.77
Goals prevented
-0.39	-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Calderon G. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Yamada K. ⚽, Kingston P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hassan O. ↓, Carli E. ↑,
46', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Sandnes G. ↑,
48', Moisa L. ↓, Dillon G. ↑,
62', Alvarez D. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
62', Campaz B. ↓, Berrios D. ↑,
62', Silva T. ↓, Mesalles R. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Hezarkhani A. ⚽, Duke C. (A), Berrios D. (A2)
71', 2 - 1, Carli E. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
74', De Rosario O. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
78', Duke C. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
78', Jennings M. ↓, Charpie W. ↑,
79', Brunell S. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Dillon G. ⚽, Hezarkhani A. (A),
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Anderson O. (Pen),
1, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
2, Hezarkhani A. (Pen),
2, Gomez S. (Pen),
3, Marquez O. (Pen),
3, Carli E. (Pen),
4, Mesalles R. (Pen),
4, Sousa T. (Pen),
5, Dillon G. (Pen),
5, Kingston P. (Pen),
6, Henry K. (Pen),
6, Gaffney C. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
49.7%

Draw
22.4%

Real Monarchs
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

23.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tacoma Defiance have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	4.12 ↑ (3.9)	3.31 ↓ (3.44)	8.3% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 11)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 2.3:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Real Monarchs?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Monarchs won against Tacoma Defiance?

Real Monarchs has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs were as follows:

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

13.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 1:2

11.08.2024 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

26.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 3:0

15.09.2023 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 0:3

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4 ✺

29.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:3 ✺

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Real Monarchs

13.07.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 1:3 ✺

29.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Houston Dynamo 2 2:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	23	14	2	2	5	54:46	48
2	Philadelphia Union II	23	10	5	3	5	48:26	43
3	Chicago Fire II	22	11	3	2	6	54:37	41
4	New England Revolution II	21	10	5	1	5	40:27	41
5	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
6	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
7	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
4	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
5	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
6	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
7	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
2	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
3	Real Monarchs	21	8	4	3	6	38:35	35
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
5	Los Angeles FC II	23	8	2	1	12	39:48	29
6	Portland Timbers 2	22	7	2	3	10	34:40	28
7	Tacoma Defiance	21	7	2	2	10	51:53	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	23	16	3	0	4	53:30	54
2	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
3	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
4	Minnesota 2	22	8	2	3	9	36:37	31
5	North Texas	22	8	3	1	10	35:47	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	22	2	1	3	16	21:55	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	23	14	2	2	5	54:46	48
2	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	23	10	5	3	5	48:26	43
4	Chicago Fire II	22	11	3	2	6	54:37	41
5	New England Revolution II	21	10	5	1	5	40:27	41
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
8	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
9	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
10	Carolina Core	23	6	4	4	9	31:33	30
11	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
12	Cincinnati 2	22	5	7	0	10	25:31	29
13	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
14	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	23	16	3	0	4	53:30	54
2	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
3	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
4	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
5	Real Monarchs	21	8	4	3	6	38:35	35
6	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
8	Minnesota 2	22	8	2	3	9	36:37	31
9	North Texas	22	8	3	1	10	35:47	31
10	Los Angeles FC II	23	8	2	1	12	39:48	29
11	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
12	Portland Timbers 2	22	7	2	3	10	34:40	28
13	Tacoma Defiance	21	7	2	2	10	51:53	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	22	2	1	3	16	21:55	11

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