Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance
Result
3:0
31/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.91
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
87% (395/456)87% (374/429)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.14
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
56
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
87% (395/456)87% (374/429)
Long passes
57% (26/46)57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
74% (70/95)71% (87/123)
Crosses
22% (2/9)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.56
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1013
Tackles
78% (7/9)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3041
Clearances
228
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.141.74
Goals prevented
0.14-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Sandoval B. , Moisa L. (A), Jennings M. (A2)
  • 42', Jennings M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Zambrano M. , Barea J. ,
  • 46', Rivera L. , Silva T. ,
  • 59', Sandoval B. , Hezarkhani A. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Barea J. ,
  • 67', Carli E. , Hassan O. ,
  • 71', Dodzi C. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 71', Pedder R. , Khoury J. ,
  • 74', Hezarkhani A. 🟨,
  • 76', Anderson O. , Bell M. ,
  • 85', Gaffney C. , Diaw B. ,
  • 86', 3 - 0, Hezarkhani A. ,
  • 89', Farnsworth Z. , Amparo I. ,
  • 89', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diaw B. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
54.3%
Draw
23.1%
Tacoma Defiance
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 25.1% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 24.5% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.89)
    3.98
    (3.62)
    4.08
    (3.38)
    8.6%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
    • Recent performances by Real Monarchs have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tacoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
    17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3
    11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    13.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 1:2
    11.08.2024 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    26.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 3:0
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2271623666:5555
    2Philadelphia Union II271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II271352749:3551
    4Chicago Fire II271242966:5546
    5Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    6Cincinnati 2278701236:4038
    7New York City II279241250:5735
    8Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga271344641:3551
    2Huntsville271342853:3249
    3Carolina Core27855942:4139
    4Atlanta United 2279261043:4237
    5Orlando City B279421237:5137
    6Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    7Inter Miami II276151538:6725


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC271442758:3452
    2Real Monarchs271244751:4148
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 22711411160:5042
    4Ventura County2711241048:4941
    5Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    6Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    7Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2271751459:3562
    2Colorado Rapids 2271414853:4048
    3Minnesota 22711241042:4141
    4North Texas2710421142:5440
    5Austin FC II279351033:3538
    6Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    7Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ 271623666:5555
    2Philadelphia Union II ✔ 271453560:3155
    3New England Revolution II ✔ 271352749:3551
    4Chattanooga ✔ 271344641:3551
    5Huntsville ✔ 271342853:3249
    6Chicago Fire II ✔ 271242966:5546
    7Carolina Core27855942:4139
    8Toronto FC II2710241133:4038
    9Cincinnati 2278701236:4038
    10Atlanta United 2279261043:4237
    11Orlando City B279421237:5137
    12New York City II279241250:5735
    13Crown Legacy287351345:5432
    14Inter Miami II276151538:6725
    15Columbus Crew 2275141737:6121


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2 ✔ 271751459:3562
    2Town FC ✔ 271442758:3452
    3Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ 271414853:4048
    4Real Monarchs ✔ 271244751:4148
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔ 2711411160:5042
    6Minnesota 2 ✔ 2711241042:4141
    7Ventura County ✔ 2711241048:4941
    8North Texas2710421142:5440
    9Austin FC II279351033:3538
    10Houston Dynamo 2279421239:4237
    11Portland Timbers 2279241245:5335
    12Tacoma Defiance279221457:6633
    13Los Angeles FC II279221445:5733
    14Sporting Kansas City II273241829:6417

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)