Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance
Result
3:0
31/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.91
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
87% (395/456)87% (374/429)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.14
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
56
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
87% (395/456)87% (374/429)
Long passes
57% (26/46)57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
74% (70/95)71% (87/123)
Crosses
22% (2/9)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.56
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1013
Tackles
78% (7/9)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3041
Clearances
228
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.141.74
Goals prevented
0.14-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Sandoval B. , Moisa L. (A), Jennings M. (A2)
  • 42', Jennings M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Zambrano M. , Barea J. ,
  • 46', Rivera L. , Silva T. ,
  • 59', Sandoval B. , Hezarkhani A. ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Barea J. ,
  • 67', Carli E. , Hassan O. ,
  • 71', Dodzi C. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 71', Pedder R. , Khoury J. ,
  • 74', Hezarkhani A. 🟨,
  • 76', Anderson O. , Bell M. ,
  • 85', Gaffney C. , Diaw B. ,
  • 86', 3 - 0, Hezarkhani A. ,
  • 89', Farnsworth Z. , Amparo I. ,
  • 89', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Diaw B. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
54.3%
Draw
23.1%
Tacoma Defiance
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 25.1% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 24.5% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.89)
    3.98
    (3.62)
    4.08
    (3.38)
    8.6%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
    • Recent performances by Real Monarchs have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tacoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
    17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3
    11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    13.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 1:2
    11.08.2024 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    26.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 3:0
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Ventura County (8)3 : 0
    2Real Monarchs (4)Minnesota 2 (5)1 : 2
    3Philadelphia Union II (2)Cincinnati 2 (7)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga (4)Huntsville (5)0 : 2
    5New York Red Bulls II (1)Carolina Core (8)5 : 1
    6New England Revolution II (3)Chicago Fire II (6)0 : 1
    7Town FC (2)North Texas (6)3 : 0
    8Colorado Rapids 2 (3)Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1St. Louis City 2 (1)Minnesota 2 (5)
    2Philadelphia Union II (2)Huntsville (5)1 : 0
    3New York Red Bulls II (1)Chicago Fire II (6)
    4Town FC (2)Colorado Rapids 2 (3)