Real Oviedo vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
1:1
11/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainGolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2, #Vamos
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDSports 2
usaUsaESPN Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.491.34
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (271/316)90% (432/481)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.491.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.161.89
Total shots
915
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
54
Free Kicks
99
Passes
86% (271/316)90% (432/481)
Long passes
59% (27/46)65% (34/52)
Passes in final third
77% (70/91)81% (101/125)
Crosses
18% (2/11)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.65
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
99
Tackles
46% (6/13)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.891.16
Goals prevented
0.890.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Melero G. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Seoane J. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
  • 48', Lazaro 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Cazorla S. ⚽,
  • 58', Calvo D. 🟨,
  • 62', Alemao ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
  • 71', Puigmal A. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
  • 71', Langa B. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
  • 77', Alhassane R. 🟨,
  • 77', Kaiky ↓, Marezi ↑,
  • 77', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
  • 84', Chaira I. ↓, de la Hoz C. ↑,
  • 84', Hassan H. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
  • 90', Gonzalez E. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
  • 90', Colombatto S. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
  • 90+6', Pozo A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4rjcrfyc

Chances of winning


Real Oviedo
41.4%		Draw
28.5%		Almería
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 28.2% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 27.1% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
    •

    Real Oviedo - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.27 ↓
    (2.28)    		 3.24 ↓
    (3.38)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.17)    		 7.6%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Almería?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Oviedo (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Oviedo (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Almería (1.66) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DNB - Almería (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (34 of 43 users predict this - 79.07%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.91% – 91.23%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Almería (votes: 7 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.
    • Oviedo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Oviedo: Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Pubill M. (International duty) Robertone L. (Injury) Suarez L. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Almería were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:2
    01.02.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:1
    13.10.2024 Real Oviedo - Almería 3:2
    Latest results of Real Oviedo
    07.06.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺
    01.06.2025 Real Oviedo - Cádiz 2:1 ✺
    25.05.2025 Tenerife - Real Oviedo 0:1 ✺
    18.05.2025 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 1:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Racing Santander - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Almería
    07.06.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺
    01.06.2025 Almería - Tenerife 2:0 ✺
    25.05.2025 Mirandés - Almería 0:0 ✺
    18.05.2025 Almería - Racing Santander 2:0 ✺
    09.05.2025 Cádiz - Almería 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar3515101040:31955
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid3510101539:47-840
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

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