Real Oviedo vs Almería – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo).

LaLiga2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	DSports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DSports 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Greece	Nova Sports 1, Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2, #Vamos
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DSports 2
Usa	ESPN Deportes
Venezuela	DSports 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.34
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
86% (271/316)	90% (432/481)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	1.89
Total shots
9	15
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
15	29
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	4
Free Kicks
9	9
Passes
86% (271/316)	90% (432/481)
Long passes
59% (27/46)	65% (34/52)
Passes in final third
77% (70/91)	81% (101/125)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.65
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
46% (6/13)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
46	38
Clearances
26	17
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.89	1.16
Goals prevented
0.89	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Melero G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Seoane J. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
48', Lazaro 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Cazorla S. ⚽,
58', Calvo D. 🟨,
62', Alemao ↓, Vinas F. ↑,
71', Puigmal A. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
71', Langa B. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
77', Alhassane R. 🟨,
77', Kaiky ↓, Marezi ↑,
77', Melamed N. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
84', Chaira I. ↓, de la Hoz C. ↑,
84', Hassan H. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
90', Gonzalez E. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
90', Colombatto S. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
90+6', Pozo A. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4rjcrfyc

Chances of winning

Real Oviedo
41.4%

Draw
28.5%

Almería
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Real Oviedo - Almería Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	3.07 ↓ (3.17)	7.6% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Almería?

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 34 - 79.1%). Almería will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 66.9% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Oviedo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.
Oviedo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Almería has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Oviedo: Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Pubill M. (International duty) Robertone L. (Injury) Suarez L. (International duty)
There are questionable in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Almería?

Real Oviedo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Real Oviedo?

Almería has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Almería were as follows:

07.06.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:2

01.02.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:1

13.10.2024 Real Oviedo - Almería 3:2

Latest results of Real Oviedo

07.06.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Real Oviedo - Cádiz 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Tenerife - Real Oviedo 0:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Racing Santander - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Almería

07.06.2025 Almería - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Almería - Tenerife 2:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Mirandés - Almería 0:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Almería - Racing Santander 2:0 ✺

09.05.2025 Cádiz - Almería 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Eibar	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
3	Cadiz CF	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Burgos CF	1	1	0	0	5:1	4	3
5	Racing Santander	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
6	Dep. La Coruna	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Gijon	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
8	Real Sociedad B	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Leganes	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
10	Albacete	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
11	Almeria	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
12	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
13	Malaga	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
14	Huesca	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
15	Andorra	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
16	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
17	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
19	Castellon	2	0	0	2	1:4	-3	0
20	Ceuta	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
21	Cultural Leonesa	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
22	Granada CF	2	0	0	2	1:6	-5	0

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