Real Pilar vs Excursionistas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Zoratti G. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Vera I. ,
  • 58', Cesar J. , Martin B. ,
  • 58', Vergara D. , Risso B. ,
  • 63', Schiavulli T. , Mosca N. ,
  • 63', Scaramuzzi E. , Arciero R. ,
  • 65', Rios N. , Smith I. ,
  • 65', Crocco M. , Ochoa J. ,
  • 71', Damiolini N. , Martinez M. ,
  • 73', Leguiza D. , Govi G. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Risso B. ,
  • 77', Ochoa J. 🟨,
  • 81', Arciero R. 🟨,
  • 84', Vera I. , Maizarez I. ,
  • 84', Zarate J. , Sosa F. ,
  • 84', Risso B. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Maizarez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Pilar
43.4%
Draw
31.6%
Excursionistas
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 26.3% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25.7% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.
  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Real Pilar - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.75)
    2.91
    (3.48)
    3.67
    (4.26)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Real Pilar - Excursionistas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Pilar could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Pilar - Excursionistas were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 0:0
    10.06.2023 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 2:3
    06.02.2023 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 1:2
    24.09.2022 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 3:1
    Latest results of Real Pilar
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Laferrere32106:427
    2Sportivo Italiano32104:227
    3Excursionistas32104:227
    4Flandria32016:426
    5Villa Dalmine32013:126
    6Real Pilar32014:316
    7Argentino de Merlo32012:116
    8Arsenal Sarandi31204:225
    9Villa San Carlos31116:514
    10Dep. Merlo31112:204
    11Deportivo Armenio31112:204
    12Liniers31112:204
    13Talleres (R.E)31111:104
    14Comunicaciones31112:3-14
    15UAI Urquiza30300:003
    16San Martin Burzaco30214:5-12
    17Defensores Unidos30211:2-12
    18Brown Adrogue30212:4-22
    19Argentino de Quilmes30121:3-21
    20Dock Sud30121:3-21
    21Ituzaingo30122:5-31
    22Deportivo Camioneros30120:3-31

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )