Real Pilar vs Excursionistas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera B - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
127
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
103
Goalkeeper Saves
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 40', Zoratti G. 🟨,
  • 45', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Zarate J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Vera I. ,
  • 58', Cesar J. , Martin B. ,
  • 58', Vergara D. , Risso B. ,
  • 63', Schiavulli T. , Mosca N. ,
  • 63', Scaramuzzi E. , Arciero R. ,
  • 65', Rios N. , Smith I. ,
  • 65', Crocco M. , Ochoa J. ,
  • 71', Damiolini N. , Martinez M. ,
  • 73', Leguiza D. , Govi G. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Risso B. ,
  • 77', Ochoa J. 🟨,
  • 81', Arciero R. 🟨,
  • 84', Vera I. , Maizarez I. ,
  • 84', Zarate J. , Sosa F. ,
  • 84', Risso B. (Pen),
  • 90+5', Maizarez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Pilar
43.4%
Draw
31.6%
Excursionistas
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 26.3% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 25.7% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Pilar's form might have worsened.
  • Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Real Pilar - Excursionistas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.75)
    2.91
    (3.48)
    3.67
    (4.26)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Real Pilar - Excursionistas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Pilar could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Pilar - Excursionistas were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 0:0
    10.06.2023 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 2:3
    06.02.2023 Excursionistas - Real Pilar 1:2
    24.09.2022 Real Pilar - Excursionistas 3:1
    Latest results of Real Pilar
    Latest results of Excursionistas
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Excursionistas65109:2716
    2Argentino de Merlo64117:2513
    3Real Pilar64029:7212
    4Arsenal Sarandi632110:4611
    5Talleres (R.E)63215:2311
    6Villa Dalmine63215:2311
    7Sportivo Italiano63216:4211
    8San Martin Burzaco623111:569
    9Deportivo Camioneros62224:408
    10Comunicaciones62224:5-18
    11Dep. Merlo62226:8-28
    12Laferrere62137:10-37
    13Liniers62135:8-37
    14UAI Urquiza60603:306
    15Argentino de Quilmes61324:5-16
    16Flandria62046:9-36
    17Brown Adrogue61323:8-56
    18Dock Sud61235:6-15
    19Villa San Carlos61237:9-25
    20Deportivo Armenio61144:8-44
    21Defensores Unidos60334:7-33
    22Ituzaingo60332:8-63

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional
          Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )