New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake
Result
2:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.481.08
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
247
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
85% (419/493)80% (323/402)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.481.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.800.61
Total shots
247
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
4912
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (419/493)80% (323/402)
Long passes
45% (20/44)42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
76% (114/150)68% (50/74)
Crosses
44% (4/9)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.63
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1611
Tackles
33% (4/12)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5057
Clearances
2034
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.612.80
Goals prevented
-0.390.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Gozo Z. , Agada W. (A), Luna D. (A2)
  • 14', Hack A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 46', Hack A. , Parker T. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. , Forsberg E. (A), Edwards R. (A2)
  • 59', Donkor R. 🟨,
  • 64', Ojeda B. , Ruiz P. ,
  • 64', Agada W. , Rwan Cruz ,
  • 64', Donkor R. , Stroud P. ,
  • 71', Sofo M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 77', Nealis S. 🟨,
  • 77', Gozo Z. 🟨,
  • 83', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 83', Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 86', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Duncan K. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Forsberg E. , Nealis D. ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 90+11', Eneli E. , Russell J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
44.3%
Draw
25.9%
Real Salt Lake
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.5% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 27.4% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.92)
    3.66
    (3.73)
    3.19
    (3.79)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 51.5%92.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York Red Bulls will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Salt Lake has had a series of home games.
    • NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Bonilla J. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Olatunji V. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Salt Lake: Caliskan N. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
    15.07.2023 Real Salt Lake - New York Red Bulls 3:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

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