Result
1:3
26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (467/545) | 83% (332/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (467/545) | 83% (332/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/114) | 64% (43/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.62 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Vera B. ↓, Junqua S. ↑,
- 45+1', Katranis A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Luna D. ⚽,
- 45+6', 1 - 1, Lozano H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 2, Luna D. (Pen),
- 56', Bombino L. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 3, Junqua S. ⚽,
- 67', Bombino L. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
- 67', Piol A. ↓, Agada W. ↑,
- 67', Godoy A. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
- 73', Lozano H. 🟨,
- 77', Valakari O. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
- 77', Kumado W. ↓, Loffelsend J. ↑,
- 83', Quinton P. 🟨,
- 84', de la Torre L. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
- 86', Tverskov J. ↓, Angel T. ↑,
- 87', Alvarado Jr A. 🟨,
- 88', Goncalves D. 🟨,
- 89', Luna D. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
- 90+3', Hidalgo B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Goncalves D. ↓, Caliskan N. ↑,
- 90+6', Hidalgo B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Diego
56.4% | Draw
23.1% | Real Salt Lake
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Diego's performance.Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Diego that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
San Diego - Real Salt Lake Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.94) |
4.14 ↑
(3.62) |
4.64 ↑
(3.91) |
4.6%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for San Diego - Real Salt Lake?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Recent matches San Diego is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Salt Lake is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match San Diego is a favorite.
- There will not play in San Diego: Boateng E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Bombino L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Ingvartsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Reyes A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Henry K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Luna D.
(Red Card)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches San Diego won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego won against Real Salt Lake?
San Diego has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Salt Lake won against San Diego?
Real Salt Lake has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
08.03.2025
Real Salt Lake
-
San Diego
1:3
Latest results of San Diego
Latest results of Real Salt Lake
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 50:32 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Minnesota United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 44 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 37 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 37 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 37:45 | -8 | 28 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 28 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 44:39 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:37 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 19 |
| 15 | DC United | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 19 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
