San Diego vs Real Salt Lake – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
26/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.73
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (467/545)83% (332/401)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.38
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1919
Passes
86% (467/545)83% (332/401)
Long passes
49% (17/35)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)64% (43/67)
Crosses
33% (5/15)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.41
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
1919
Tackles
77% (10/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4636
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.380.94
Goals prevented
-1.62-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Vera B. , Junqua S. ,
  • 45+1', Katranis A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Luna D. ,
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, Lozano H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 2, Luna D. (Pen),
  • 56', Bombino L. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 3, Junqua S. ,
  • 67', Bombino L. , Diop H. ,
  • 67', Piol A. , Agada W. ,
  • 67', Godoy A. , Mighten A. ,
  • 73', Lozano H. 🟨,
  • 77', Valakari O. , Iloski M. ,
  • 77', Kumado W. , Loffelsend J. ,
  • 83', Quinton P. 🟨,
  • 84', de la Torre L. , Alvarado Jr A. ,
  • 86', Tverskov J. , Angel T. ,
  • 87', Alvarado Jr A. 🟨,
  • 88', Goncalves D. 🟨,
  • 89', Luna D. , Wolff T. ,
  • 90+3', Hidalgo B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Goncalves D. , Caliskan N. ,
  • 90+6', Hidalgo B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Diego
56.4%
Draw
23.1%
Real Salt Lake
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.4% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 26.3% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Diego's performance.
  • Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Diego that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • San Diego - Real Salt Lake Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.94)
    4.14
    (3.62)
    4.64
    (3.91)
    4.6%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for San Diego - Real Salt Lake?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - San Diego (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Diego will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Recent matches San Diego is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Salt Lake is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match San Diego is a favorite.
    • There will not play in San Diego: Boateng E. (Lower-Body Injury) Bombino L. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Henry K. (Hamstring Injury) Luna D. (Red Card)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches San Diego won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Diego - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Real Salt Lake - San Diego 1:3
    Latest results of San Diego
    19.04.2025 Charlotte - San Diego 3:0
    29.03.2025 San Diego - Los Angeles 3:2
    23.03.2025 Austin FC - San Diego 2:1
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)