Real Sociedad Tocoa vs CD Marathón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón
Result
0:2
03/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
33
Shots on target
02
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
73
Red Cards
30
Total shots
33
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Tejeda A. ,
  • 45+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dolmo Y. , Martinez G. ,
  • 46', Gotay P. , Enamorado N. ,
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 56', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 56', Fuentes A. , Felix B. ,
  • 63', Anderson I. 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Ramirez D. ,
  • 66', Reyes D. , Turner B. ,
  • 71', Gutierrez Y. , Aguilera J. ,
  • 71', Aguila R. , Castillo I. ,
  • 74', Lopez I. , Sevilla C. ,
  • 74', Tejeda A. , Anangono J. ,
  • 78', Dominguez J. , Delgado E. ,
  • 81', Vega Orellana A. N. , Martinez Hernandez F. E. ,
  • 82', Enamorado N. 🟨,
  • 89', Castillo I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Enamorado N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad Tocoa
26.3%
Draw
29.7%
CD Marathón
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 28.3% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 27.4% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad Tocoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.05)
    3.07
    (3.22)
    2.07
    (2.18)
    9.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marathón will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marathón: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marathón (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 0.
    • Real Sociedad Tocoa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Marathón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Marathón will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:28 (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad Tocoa won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón were as follows:
    02.02.2025 CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa 1:1
    10.11.2024 Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón 0:0
    14.09.2024 CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa 1:1
    13.04.2024 Real Sociedad Tocoa - CD Marathón 1:2
    17.02.2024 CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa 3:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad Tocoa
    Latest results of CD Marathón
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia22009:276
    2Marathon11003:033
    3Real Espana21015:323
    4Platense11002:113
    5Genesis21013:303
    6UPNFM21012:3-13
    7Juticalpa00000:000
    8Motagua10011:2-10
    9Olancho10011:4-30
    10Victoria10010:3-30
    11Choloma10012:7-50

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)