Real Sociedad vs Osasuna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
13/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa del Rey - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
colombiaColombiaWin play
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
spainSpainM+ LaLiga 2
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaMeridiano

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
4.000.49
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
3013
Shots on target
95
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
73
Passes
84% (635/754)66% (230/346)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
4.000.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.831.13
Total shots
3013
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
162
Blocked shots
56
Shots inside the box
206
Shots outside the box
107
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
71
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
5518
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
23
Free kicks
2113
Passes
84% (635/754)66% (230/346)
Long passes
44% (26/59)33% (31/93)
Passes in final third
79% (208/264)49% (46/93)
Crosses
34% (13/38)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.660.43
Throw ins
3932
Fouls
1321
Tackles
53% (9/17)55% (12/22)
Duels won
7662
Clearances
2162
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
48
xGOT faced
1.132.83
Goals prevented
0.130.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Moncayola J. ,
  • 17', 0 - 2, Oyarzabal M. (Own goal),
  • 43', Moncayola J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', Barrenetxea A. , Zakharyan A. ,
  • 55', Gorrotxategi J. , Turrientes B. ,
  • 58', Herrando J. 🟨,
  • 63', Barja K. , Galan J. ,
  • 63', Arguibide I. , Rosier V. ,
  • 68', Garcia R. 🟨,
  • 71', Gomez M. , Garcia R. ,
  • 74', Aramburu J. , Odriozola A. ,
  • 74', Sucic L. , Guedes G. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Turrientes B. ,
  • 77', Kubo T. 🟨,
  • 85', Munoz I. , Torro L. ,
  • 85', Cruz J. , Catena A. ,
  • 89', Caleta-Car D. , Oskarsson O. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Zubeldia I. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Oskarsson O. , Martin J. ,
  • 98', Garcia R. , Budimir A. ,
  • 105+2', Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 120', Budimir A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Budimir A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Guedes G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Moncayola J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Soler C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Torro L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Gomez S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Galan J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Zakharyan A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Catena A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
52.7%
Draw
26.7%
Osasuna
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.7% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 29% 27.4%

Real Sociedad - Osasuna Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.87
(2.14)
3.57
(3.25)
4.63
(3.36)
3.2%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Osasuna?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Real Sociedad (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Osasuna (5.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.69%94.31%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Sociedad will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 8 - 80%). Osasuna (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Osasuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Sociedad is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Goti Lopez M. (Inactive) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Inactive) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Osasuna: Benito I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Osasuna were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Osasuna - Real Sociedad 1:3
    30.07.2025 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 4:1
    06.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 2:0
    02.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Sociedad 2:1
    27.10.2024 Real Sociedad - Osasuna 0:2
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    09.01.2026 Getafe - Real Sociedad 1:2
    20.12.2025 Levante - Real Sociedad 1:1
    16.12.2025 Eldense - Real Sociedad 1:2
    12.12.2025 Real Sociedad - Girona 1:2
    Latest results of Osasuna
    10.01.2026 Girona - Osasuna 1:0
    03.01.2026 Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    17.12.2025 Huesca - Osasuna 2:4
    13.12.2025 Barcelona - Osasuna 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1MutilveraBye
    2ByeZaragoza
    3Atl. TordesillasBye
    4ByeBurgos CF
    5NavalcarneroBye
    6ByeAD Merida
    7Inter de ValdemoroUniv. Julio Suarez3 : 1, 1 : 1
    8ByeGetafe
    9Atl. AstorgaBye
    10ByeMirandes
    11Caudal DeportivoBye
    12ByeGijon
    13Puente GenilBye
    14ByeFC Cartagena SAD
    15Sporting CeutaMaracena0 : 2, 1 : 1
    16ByeValencia
    17TropezonBye
    18ByeCultural Leonesa
    19Valle EguesBye
    20ByeAndorra
    21Ciudad CiezaBye
    22ByeCordoba
    23OrihuelaBye
    24ByeLevante
    25Ourense CFBye
    26ByeOviedo
    27ConstanciaBye
    28ByeGirona
    32ByeAth Bilbao
    33PortugaleteBye
    34ByeValladolid
    35Deportivo GetxoBetis Valladolid2 : 1, 0 : 0
    36ByeAlaves
    37CD ExtremaduraBye
    38ByeLas Palmas
    39ToledoBye
    40ByeSevilla
    41RSD AlcalaBye
    42ByeTenerife
    43RodaBye
    44ByeGranada CF
    45Real AvilaBye
    46ByeReal Aviles
    47CampanarioCD Yuncos0 : 2, 0 : 0
    48ByeRayo Vallecano
    49JaenBye
    50ByeEldense
    51Lorca DeportivaBye
    52ByeAlmeria
    53Reus FCRBye
    54ByeCE Europa
    55Textil EscudoSD Negreira0 : 4, 2 : 1
    56ByeReal Sociedad
    57LangreoBye
    58ByeRacing Club Ferrol
    59Utebo FCBye
    60ByeHuesca
    61EbroBye
    62ByeTarazona
    63CD Sant JordiLourdes3 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeOsasuna
    65AzuagaBye
    66ByeLeganes
    67San FernandoBye
    68ByeAlbacete
    69Sant AndreuBye
    70ByeTeruel
    71Puerto de VegaCCD Alberite1 : 1, 4 : 0
    72ByeCelta Vigo
    73Rayo MajadahondaBye
    74ByeCF Talavera
    75CD EsteponaBye
    76ByeMalaga
    80ByeReal Madrid
    81UD LogronesBye
    82ByePonferradina
    83SD LogronesBye
    84ByeRacing Santander
    85AntonianoBye
    86ByeCastellon
    87Ciudad de LucenaBye
    88ByeVillarreal
    89GuadalajaraBye
    90ByeCacereno
    91La UnionBye
    92ByeCeuta
    96ByeBarcelona
    97MurciaBye
    98ByeAntequera
    99UCAM MurciaBye
    100ByeCadiz CF
    101TorrentBye
    102ByeTorremolinos
    103Atletico MelillaPalma del Rio0 : 5, 0 : 5
    104ByeBetis
    105UD OurenseBye
    106ByePontevedra
    107NaxaraBye
    108ByeEibar
    109Quintanar del ReyBye
    110ByeUD Ibiza
    111ManisesUD Los Garres0 : 4, 2 : 0
    112ByeElche
    113PoblenseBye
    114ByeSabadell
    115UD SamanoBye
    116ByeDep. La Coruna
    117NumanciaBye
    118ByeArenas Getxo
    119Sant JustAtletico Calatayud4 : 1, 3 : 0
    120ByeMallorca
    121BalearesBye
    122ByeGimnastic
    123Atletic LleidaBye
    124ByeEspanyol
    128ByeAtl. Madrid

    1/64-finals
    1MutilveraZaragoza1 : 3
    2Atl. TordesillasBurgos CF1 : 2
    3NavalcarneroAD Merida2 : 1
    4Inter de ValdemoroGetafe0 : 11
    5Atl. AstorgaMirandes1 : 2
    6Caudal DeportivoGijon0 : 1
    7Puente GenilFC Cartagena SAD0 : 1
    8MaracenaValencia0 : 5
    9TropezonCultural Leonesa1 : 3
    10Valle EguesAndorra1 : 5
    11Ciudad CiezaCordoba1 : 0
    12OrihuelaLevante3 : 4
    13Ourense CFOviedo4 : 2
    14ConstanciaGirona2 : 3
    16ByeAth Bilbao
    17PortugaleteValladolid1 : 0
    18Deportivo GetxoAlaves0 : 7
    19CD ExtremaduraLas Palmas3 : 1
    20ToledoSevilla1 : 4
    21RSD AlcalaTenerife0 : 4
    22RodaGranada CF1 : 5
    23Real AvilaReal Aviles1 : 0
    24CD YuncosRayo Vallecano1 : 6
    25JaenEldense1 : 3
    26Lorca DeportivaAlmeria0 : 2
    27Reus FCRCE Europa3 : 2
    28SD NegreiraReal Sociedad0 : 3
    29LangreoRacing Club Ferrol0 : 1
    30Utebo FCHuesca0 : 3
    31EbroTarazona2 : 1
    32CD Sant JordiOsasuna0 : 5
    33AzuagaLeganes1 : 4
    34San FernandoAlbacete0 : 3
    35Sant AndreuTeruel2 : 1
    36Puerto de VegaCelta Vigo0 : 2
    37Rayo MajadahondaCF Talavera1 : 4
    38CD EsteponaMalaga1 : 3
    40ByeReal Madrid
    41UD LogronesPonferradina1 : 3
    42SD LogronesRacing Santander0 : 4
    43AntonianoCastellon1 : 0
    44Ciudad de LucenaVillarreal0 : 6
    45GuadalajaraCacereno2 : 1
    46La UnionCeuta0 : 2
    48ByeBarcelona
    49MurciaAntequera2 : 1
    50UCAM MurciaCadiz CF1 : 3
    51TorrentTorremolinos3 : 1
    52Palma del RioBetis1 : 7
    53UD OurensePontevedra1 : 2
    54NaxaraEibar2 : 4
    55Quintanar del ReyUD Ibiza2 : 1
    56UD Los GarresElche0 : 4
    57PoblenseSabadell1 : 2
    58UD SamanoDep. La Coruna1 : 5
    59NumanciaArenas Getxo3 : 0
    60Sant JustMallorca0 : 2
    61BalearesGimnastic2 : 0
    62Atletic LleidaEspanyol1 : 2
    64ByeAtl. Madrid

    1/32-finals
    1ZaragozaBurgos CF0 : 1
    2NavalcarneroGetafe2 : 3
    3MirandesGijon0 : 2
    4FC Cartagena SADValencia1 : 2
    5Cultural LeonesaAndorra4 : 2
    6Ciudad CiezaLevante0 : 1
    7Ourense CFGirona2 : 1
    8ByeAth Bilbao
    9PortugaleteAlaves0 : 3
    10CD ExtremaduraSevilla1 : 2
    11TenerifeGranada CF0 : 1
    12Real AvilaRayo Vallecano1 : 2
    13EldenseAlmeria2 : 1
    14Reus FCRReal Sociedad0 : 2
    15Racing Club FerrolHuesca0 : 2
    16EbroOsasuna3 : 5
    17LeganesAlbacete1 : 2
    18Sant AndreuCelta Vigo1 : 2
    19CF TalaveraMalaga2 : 1
    20ByeReal Madrid
    21PonferradinaRacing Santander1 : 2
    22AntonianoVillarreal1 : 2
    23GuadalajaraCeuta1 : 0
    24ByeBarcelona
    25MurciaCadiz CF3 : 2
    26TorrentBetis1 : 4
    27PontevedraEibar0 : 3
    28Quintanar del ReyElche1 : 2
    29SabadellDep. La Coruna0 : 2
    30NumanciaMallorca2 : 3
    31BalearesEspanyol1 : 0
    32ByeAtl. Madrid

    1/16-finals
    1Burgos CFGetafe3 : 1
    2GijonValencia0 : 2
    3Cultural LeonesaLevante1 : 0
    4Ourense CFAth Bilbao0 : 1
    5AlavesSevilla1 : 0
    6Granada CFRayo Vallecano1 : 3
    7EldenseReal Sociedad1 : 2
    8HuescaOsasuna2 : 4
    9AlbaceteCelta Vigo3 : 2
    10CF TalaveraReal Madrid2 : 3
    11Racing SantanderVillarreal2 : 1
    12GuadalajaraBarcelona0 : 2
    13MurciaBetis0 : 2
    14EibarElche0 : 1
    15Dep. La CorunaMallorca1 : 0
    16BalearesAtl. Madrid2 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Burgos CFValencia0 : 2
    2Cultural LeonesaAth Bilbao3 : 4
    3AlavesRayo Vallecano2 : 0
    4Real SociedadOsasuna3 : 2
    5AlbaceteReal Madrid3 : 2
    6Racing SantanderBarcelona0 : 2
    7BetisElche2 : 1
    8Dep. La CorunaAtl. Madrid0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ValenciaAth Bilbao1 : 2
    2AlavesReal Sociedad2 : 3
    3AlbaceteBarcelona1 : 2
    4BetisAtl. Madrid0 : 5

    Semi-finals
    1Ath BilbaoReal Sociedad
    2BarcelonaAtl. Madrid

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2