Sportivo Luqueño vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
16/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.12
Ball Possession
36%64%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
510
Free Kicks
713
Corner Kicks
610
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2016
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
175
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
6691
Dangerous Attacks
3557

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Ferreira M. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Helinho , Eric Ramires (A),
  • 19', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Leguizamon J. , Otalvaro S. (A),
  • 44', Eric Ramires , Lucas Evangelista ,
  • 44', Gustavinho , Lincoln ,
  • 45', Juninho Capixaba , Lucas Cunha ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', Lincoln 🟨,
  • 51', Benitez F. 🟨,
  • 69', Nathan Mendes , Laquintana I. ,
  • 70', Otalvaro S. , Ferreira R. ,
  • 70', Fretes S. , Villalba A. ,
  • 70', Ferreira M. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Lincoln ,
  • 74', Matheus Fernandes , Talisson ,
  • 77', Alegre D. , Mana N. ,
  • 79', Fernandez D. , Comas L. ,
  • 80', 2 - 3, Helinho , Talisson (A),
  • 90+3', Eduardo Santos 🟨,
  • 90+3', Rios R. D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
21.4%
Draw
26.4%
Red Bull Bragantino
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 24.8% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1% 24.3% 60%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Luqueño that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.35
    (5.6)
    3.55
    (3.72)
    1.8
    (1.57)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: Red Bull Bragantino will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • RB Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match RB Bragantino is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    24.04.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Sportivo Luqueño 2:1
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigre10101:101
    2America De Cali10101:101
    3Alianza Atl10101:101
    4Macara10101:101


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Puerto Cabello11002:113
    2Cienciano10101:101
    3Juventud10101:101
    4Atletico-MG10011:2-10


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo22003:036
    2O'Higgins21012:203
    3Boston River10010:1-10
    4Millonarios10010:2-20


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Cuenca11001:013
    2Recoleta20202:202
    3San Lorenzo10101:101
    4Santos20111:2-11


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club11003:123
    2Botafogo RJ10101:101
    3Caracas10101:101
    4Independiente10011:3-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montevideo City22003:036
    2Gremio21011:103
    3Dep. Riestra20110:1-11
    4Palestino20110:2-21


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion11002:023
    2A. Italiano21012:3-13
    3Barracas Central10100:001
    4Vasco20111:2-11


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11001:013
    2River Plate10101:101
    3Blooming10101:101
    4Bragantino10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)