Result
1:0
21/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Goal Attempts |
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| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Offsides |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 28 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 21 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (417/497) | 75% (274/365) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 69% (94/137) | 61% (50/82) |
| Crosses |
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| 22% (4/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Tackles |
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| 87% (13/15) | 76% (16/21) |
| Clearances Total |
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| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
- 23', Danger B. ↓, Renel S. ↑,
- 36', Hachem R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Boutrah A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Placide J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Aiki A. ↓, Tramoni L. ↑,
- 60', Badji A. ↓, Fall A. ↑,
- 60', Escartin J. ↓, Dembi F. J. ↑,
- 62', Ble M. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Sebas J. ⚽, Tramoni L. (A),
- 73', Dembi F. J. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
- 73', Benali H. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
- 80', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
- 84', Sebas J. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 90+1', Bohnert F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bastia
48.7% | Draw
29% | Red Star
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia's form might have worsened.Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Bastia - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.68) |
3.23 ↓
(3.59) |
4.17 ↓
(4.9) |
7%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bastia - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 23.8% – 76.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).
- Recent matches Bastia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Red Star is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Bastia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bastia: Tomi F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Red Star: Beunardeau Q.
(Knee Injury)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Eickmayer J.
(Injury)
Mendy B.
(Injury)
Meyapya B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bastia: Maggiotti J.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Red Star?
Bastia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Bastia?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Red Star were as follows:
06.12.2024
Red Star
-
Bastia
0:0
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amiens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Troyes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Nancy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Laval | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Clermont | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | St Etienne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bastia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Montpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Rodez | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Red Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Annecy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
