Bastia vs Red Star – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bastia
34.2%
Draw
30.6%
Red Star
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30% 30.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 29.2% 41.2%

Bastia - Red Star Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.72
(3.05)
3.04
(3.03)
2.66
(2.3)
7.3%
(9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
  • Recent form of Bastia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Red Star has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Red Star were as follows:
21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
06.12.2024 Red Star - Bastia 0:0
Latest results of Bastia
29.11.2025 Saint-Malo - Bastia 0:1
25.11.2025 Bastia - Laval 0:2
21.11.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:0
07.11.2025 Bastia - Reims 1:3
31.10.2025 Bastia - Clermont 1:0
Latest results of Red Star
29.11.2025 Biesheim - Red Star 2:1
22.11.2025 Red Star - Clermont 2:2
08.11.2025 Le Mans - Red Star 0:0
01.11.2025 Red Star - Saint-Étienne 2:1
28.10.2025 Dunkerque - Red Star 3:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Troyes1594227:141331
2St Etienne1592433:221129
3Red Star1584321:15628
4Reims1574428:20825
5Montpellier1573517:14324
6Le Mans1566319:16324
7Guingamp1565424:25-123
8Pau FC1565421:23-223
9Dunkerque1556426:18821
10Annecy1554617:16119
11Clermont1546515:19-418
12Grenoble1545617:20-317
13Rodez1545615:21-617
14Laval1536612:16-415
15Amiens1543819:24-515
16Nancy1543814:21-715
17Boulogne1543816:23-715
18Bastia1514106:20-147

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National