Result
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Chances of winning
Red Star
42% | Draw
30.7% | Bastia
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Red Star - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.17) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
3.42 ↑
(3.26) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Red Star - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Red Star (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Red Star has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bastia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Red Star might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Red Star: Cabral K.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Guindo S.
(Inactive)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
Kany V.
(Coach's decision)
Trani G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z.
(Injury)
Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Merghem M.
(Injury)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Zilliox N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Bastia?
Red Star has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Red Star?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Bastia were as follows:
05.12.2025
Bastia
-
Red Star
Abandoned
21.02.2025
Bastia
-
Red Star
1:0
06.12.2024
Red Star
-
Bastia
0:0
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
