Nancy vs Red Star – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Nancy - Red Star
Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 6
  • Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.32
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
416
Shots on target
07
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
65% (146/226)87% (493/567)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.11
Total shots
416
Shots on target
07
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
65% (146/226)87% (493/567)
Long passes
36% (24/66)61% (39/64)
Passes in final third
55% (53/97)75% (131/174)
Crosses
36% (4/11)15% (4/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.541.12
Throw-ins
2516
Fouls
1511
Tackles
58% (7/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5151
Clearances
3418
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
1.110.00
Goals prevented
0.110.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Basilio E. 🟥,
  • 19', Bokangu B. , Kenzo N. ,
  • 26', Khaoui S. E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bamba R. , Sidibe O. ,
  • 46', Bouabdelli W. , Ouotro P. ,
  • 54', Sylla D. 🟨,
  • 62', Khaoui S. E. , Eickmayer J. ,
  • 62', Sylla D. , Benali H. ,
  • 71', Fdaouch Z. , Maouassa F. ,
  • 74', Bouriaud T. 🟨,
  • 76', Bouriaud T. , Suljic C. ,
  • 77', Suljic C. 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 1, Ikanga J. ,
  • 86', Durand D. , Danger B. ,
  • 90+3', Ikanga J. , Kayi Sanda J. ,
  • 90+7', Poussin G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nancy
17.8%
Draw
29.4%
Red Star
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 28.9% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 29.4% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nancy's form might have worsened.
  • Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+23.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nancy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-22.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nancy - Red Star Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.32
    (2.37)
    5.2
    (3.3)
    2.58
    (3.1)
    -31.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nancy - Red Star?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.
    • Recent performances by Nancy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Red Star is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Nancy: Camara B. (Inactive) Dabasse A. (Inactive) Sourzac M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Red Star: Danger B. (Inactive) Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Eickmayer J. (Inactive) Escartin J. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Red Star were as follows:
    22.03.2024 Red Star - Nancy 1:1
    11.10.2023 Nancy - Red Star 1:1
    17.04.2023 Nancy - Red Star 1:4
    25.11.2022 Red Star - Nancy 1:0
    Latest results of Nancy
    12.09.2025 Troyes - Nancy 3:0
    29.08.2025 Nancy - Pau 2:2
    22.08.2025 Dunkerque - Nancy 1:3
    15.08.2025 Nancy - Boulogne 1:0
    09.08.2025 Rodez - Nancy 0:0
    Latest results of Red Star
    12.09.2025 Pau - Red Star 0:3
    29.08.2025 Red Star - Annecy 1:0
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4
    15.08.2025 Red Star - Amiens 1:3
    09.08.2025 Montpellier - Red Star 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1173120:91124
    2Red Star1172217:9823
    3Pau FC1163217:12521
    4St Etienne1162321:17420
    5Montpellier1152413:11217
    6Reims1144316:15116
    7Le Mans1144315:14116
    8Annecy1143414:12215
    9Amiens1143414:14015
    10Guingamp1143418:22-415
    11Dunkerque1134419:15413
    12Clermont1134410:14-413
    13Rodez1134411:15-413
    14Nancy1133511:16-512
    15Grenoble1124511:14-310
    16Boulogne113179:14-510
    17Laval101547:12-58
    18Bastia100464:12-84

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National