Result
2:1
13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (391/475) | 79% (283/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (391/475) | 79% (283/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 49% (33/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (78/128) | 65% (74/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Escartin J. ⚽, Haag G. (A),
- 31', Mendy E. 🟨,
- 34', Haag G. 🟨,
- 45+1', Hachem R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bouriaud T. ↓, Bouabdelli W. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Escartin J. (Own goal),
- 72', Poirier G. 🟨,
- 72', Ba P. M. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
- 73', Cisse K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
- 77', Evans J. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
- 78', Benali H. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
- 78', Pierret B. ↓, Sylla D. ↑,
- 79', Dabasse A. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
- 79', Barbier H. ↓, Sissoko N. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Khaoui S. E. ⚽, Sylla D. (A),
- 86', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
- 88', Huard M. 🟨,
- 90', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Saint-Ruf N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Red Star
48.2% | Draw
28.7% | Nancy
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nancy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nancy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Star - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.17) |
3.27 ↑
(3.18) |
4.07 ↑
(3.24) |
6.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Star - Nancy?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Nancy will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Red Star (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3.
- Red Star has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nancy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Red Star might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
Lemonnier P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nancy: Bokangu B.
(Inactive)
Experience M.
(Inactive)
Gelin J.
(Injury)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Ouotro P.
(Inactive)
Saint-Ruf N.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
Ztouti Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Nancy?
Red Star has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Red Star?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Star - Nancy were as follows:
19.09.2025
Nancy
-
Red Star
0:1
22.03.2024
Red Star
-
Nancy
1:1
11.10.2023
Nancy
-
Red Star
1:1
17.04.2023
Nancy
-
Red Star
1:4
25.11.2022
Red Star
-
Nancy
1:0
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
