Saint-Étienne vs Red Star – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne).

Ligue 2 - Round 26
Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.56
Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
8	7
Passes
80% (293/366)	82% (355/432)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.36	0.20
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
6	7
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
20	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
9	12
Passes
80% (293/366)	82% (355/432)
Long passes
46% (21/46)	52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
75% (88/118)	73% (72/98)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	22% (6/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.85
Throw ins
12	23
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
47% (8/17)	71% (17/24)
Duels won
47	69
Clearances
23	13
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.20	1.36
Goals prevented
0.20	-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
55', Miladinovic I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Pedro K. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
72', Cisse K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
72', Ba P. M. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
83', Sylla D. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
83', Durand D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
85', Pierret B. 🟨,
87', Stassin L. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
90+5', Montanier P. 🟨,
90+5', Cardona I. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
90+9', Kante A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Saint-Étienne
53.7%

Draw
25.6%

Red Star
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Saint-Étienne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Saint-Étienne - Red Star Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.67 ↓ (3.96)	4.53 ↑ (4.11)	6.6% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Red Star?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 47.7% – 95.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Saint-Étienne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Red Star's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Inactive) El Jamali N. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Escartin J. (Inactive) Halifa I. (Inactive) Hassen M. (Inactive)
We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Red Star?

Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Saint-Étienne?

Red Star has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Red Star were as follows:

01.11.2025 Red Star - Saint-Étienne 2:1

Latest results of Saint-Étienne

28.02.2026 Pau - Saint-Étienne 0:3 ✺

21.02.2026 Saint-Étienne - Laval 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Guingamp - Saint-Étienne 1:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Saint-Étienne - Montpellier 1:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Saint-Étienne - Boulogne 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Red Star

28.02.2026 Red Star - Le Mans 0:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Annecy - Red Star 2:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Red Star - Nancy 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Red Star - Pau 0:3 ✺

30.01.2026 Rodez - Red Star 1:1 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes	27	16	6	5	44:27	17	54
2	St Etienne	27	15	5	7	46:29	17	50
3	Le Mans	27	12	11	4	37:26	11	47
4	Red Star	27	12	8	7	31:27	4	44
5	Reims	27	11	10	6	39:26	13	43
6	Rodez	27	11	10	6	34:32	2	43
7	Montpellier	27	12	5	10	33:25	8	41
8	Dunkerque	27	10	9	8	42:29	13	39
9	Annecy	27	11	6	10	35:30	5	39
10	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	38:38	0	39
11	Pau FC	27	10	8	9	40:44	-4	38
12	Boulogne	27	9	6	12	30:38	-8	33
13	Grenoble	27	6	12	9	24:30	-6	30
14	Clermont	27	7	7	13	30:36	-6	28
15	Nancy	27	7	6	14	24:40	-16	27
16	Amiens	27	6	5	16	30:46	-16	23
17	Laval	27	3	11	13	21:39	-18	20
18	Bastia	27	3	10	14	14:30	-16	19

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National