Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/366) | 82% (355/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/366) | 82% (355/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 52% (32/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (88/118) | 73% (72/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
- 55', Miladinovic I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Pedro K. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
- 72', Cisse K. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,
- 72', Ba P. M. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Stassin L. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
- 83', Sylla D. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,
- 83', Durand D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 85', Pierret B. 🟨,
- 87', Stassin L. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 90+5', Montanier P. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cardona I. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
- 90+9', Kante A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
53.7% | Draw
25.6% | Red Star
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Saint-Étienne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Saint-Étienne - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.74) |
3.67 ↓
(3.96) |
4.53 ↑
(4.11) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Red Star will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Saint-Étienne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Red Star's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Inactive)
El Jamali N.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Inactive)
Jaber M.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
N'Guessan D.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Escartin J.
(Inactive)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Hassen M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Red Star?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Saint-Étienne?
Red Star has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Red Star were as follows:
01.11.2025
Red Star
-
Saint-Étienne
2:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Red Star | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 29 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
