Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 8
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (399/462) | 85% (383/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (399/462) | 85% (383/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 40% (16/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (79/107) | 69% (69/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', Papetti A. 🟨,
- 38', Meroni A. 🟨,
- 39', Marras M. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Moncini G. ⚽, Dickmann L. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Marras M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Papetti A. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 59', Nikolaou D. 🟥,
- 60', Girma N. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 61', Antonucci M. ↓, Burgio R. ↑,
- 62', Partipilo A. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
- 69', Braunoder M. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Bozzolan A. ⚽, Tavsan E. (A),
- 76', Tavsan E. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 80', Charlys 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 1, Lambourde M. ⚽,
- 82', Bozzolan A. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
- 82', Charlys ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
- 84', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 84', Castrovilli G. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Reggiana
33.6% | Draw
31% | Bari
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)The chances for Bari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Reggiana - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↑
(2.65) |
3.02 ↓
(3.09) |
2.68 ↑
(2.6) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Bari?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Bari will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Gondo C.
(Knee Injury)
Quaranta D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rozzio P.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Stulac L.
(Health problems)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bari: Sibilli G.
(Inactive)
Vicari F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bari: Nikolaou D.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Bari?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Reggiana?
Bari has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Bari were as follows:
12.01.2025
Reggiana
-
Bari
0:0
02.11.2024
Bari
-
Reggiana
2:2
27.01.2024
Bari
-
Reggiana
0:2
07.10.2023
Reggiana
-
Bari
1:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
