Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 27
- Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (372/468) | 65% (163/252) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (372/468) | 65% (163/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 27% (17/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (88/126) | 44% (26/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (12/33) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Mateju A. 🟨,
- 29', Bellemo A. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Novakovich A. ⚽, Girma N. (A),
- 45+1', Mateus Lusuardi 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mateus Lusuardi ↓, Quaranta D. ↑,
- 46', Adamo E. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 46', Beruatto P. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 60', Vlahovic V. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 65', Novakovich A. ↓, Gondo D. Y. ↑,
- 73', Bellemo A. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 74', Bertagnoli M. 🟨,
- 74', Vignali L. 🟨,
- 77', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Libutti L. ↑,
- 78', Portanova M. ↓, Vallarelli F. ↑,
- 80', Romano A. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
- 87', Girma N. 🟨,
- 90', Rover M. ↓, Sampirisi M. ↑,
- 90+4', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
46.6% | Draw
29.8% | Reggiana
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Spezia - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(2.01) |
3.15 ↓
(3.25) |
3.96 ↑
(3.71) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Spezia - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Spezia is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Valoti M.
(Inactive)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
Charlys
(Yellow Cards)
Paz Y.
(Knee Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Di Serio G.
(Inactive)
Hristov P.
(Inactive)
Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Gondo C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Reggiana?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Spezia?
Reggiana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Reggiana were as follows:
30.09.2025
Reggiana
-
Spezia
1:1
04.05.2025
Reggiana
-
Spezia
2:1
05.10.2024
Spezia
-
Reggiana
1:0
16.03.2024
Reggiana
-
Spezia
0:0
23.09.2023
Spezia
-
Reggiana
1:2
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
