Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (486/552) | 80% (294/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (486/552) | 80% (294/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 25% (14/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (148/177) | 57% (38/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 56% (15/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', Bonetti S. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Ciervo R. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Marras M. (A),
- 24', 1 - 2, Portanova M. ⚽, Girma N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bonetti S. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 46', Blesa J. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
- 47', Papetti A. 🟨,
- 50', Reinhart T. 🟨,
- 53', Ciervo R. 🟨,
- 54', Francesconi M. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 61', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 64', Tavsan E. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
- 71', Berti T. 🟨,
- 73', Girma N. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 74', Ciervo R. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 74', Castagnetti M. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 81', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 81', Marras M. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 88', Bastoni S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cesena
53.1% | Draw
26.5% | Reggiana
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Cesena - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.05) |
3.7 ↑
(3.25) |
4.78 ↑
(3.6) |
0.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cesena will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Cesena is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Quaranta D.
(Injury)
Rozzio P.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Seculin A.
(Injury)
Stulac L.
(Injury)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Reggiana?
Cesena has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Cesena?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Reggiana were as follows:
09.02.2025
Reggiana
-
Cesena
0:1
23.11.2024
Cesena
-
Reggiana
1:1
20.02.2023
Cesena
-
Reggiana
1:2
19.10.2022
Reggiana
-
Cesena
0:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
