Cesena vs Reggiana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Cesena - Reggiana
Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 7
  • Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.66
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
88% (486/552)80% (294/369)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.490.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.02
Total shots
166
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
3411
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
88% (486/552)80% (294/369)
Long passes
55% (18/33)25% (14/55)
Passes in final third
84% (148/177)57% (38/67)
Crosses
26% (7/27)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.66
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
1712
Tackles
53% (9/17)56% (15/27)
Duels won
5560
Clearances
1238
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.021.29
Goals prevented
-0.980.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', Bonetti S. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ciervo R. , Berti T. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. , Marras M. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Portanova M. , Girma N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bonetti S. , Magnani G. ,
  • 46', Blesa J. , Celia R. ,
  • 47', Papetti A. 🟨,
  • 50', Reinhart T. 🟨,
  • 53', Ciervo R. 🟨,
  • 54', Francesconi M. , Bastoni S. ,
  • 61', Shpendi C. , Olivieri M. ,
  • 64', Tavsan E. , Bertagnoli M. ,
  • 71', Berti T. 🟨,
  • 73', Girma N. , Novakovich A. ,
  • 74', Ciervo R. , Magni V. ,
  • 74', Castagnetti M. , Balde S. ,
  • 81', Reinhart T. , Mendicino L. ,
  • 81', Marras M. , Lambourde M. ,
  • 88', Bastoni S. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cesena
53.1%
Draw
26.5%
Reggiana
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 28.7% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27.3% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.
  • Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Cesena - Reggiana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.05)
    3.7
    (3.25)
    4.78
    (3.6)
    0.2%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cesena - Reggiana?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cesena will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Cesena is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Reggiana: Quaranta D. (Injury) Rozzio P. (Calf Injury) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Seculin A. (Injury) Stulac L. (Injury) Urso O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Reggiana were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Reggiana - Cesena 0:1
    23.11.2024 Cesena - Reggiana 1:1
    20.02.2023 Cesena - Reggiana 1:2
    19.10.2022 Reggiana - Cesena 0:1
    Latest results of Cesena
    30.09.2025 Frosinone - Cesena 3:1
    27.09.2025 Cesena - Palermo 1:1
    20.09.2025 Venezia - Cesena 1:2
    13.09.2025 Sampdoria - Cesena 1:2
    30.08.2025 Cesena - Virtus Entella 1:1
    Latest results of Reggiana
    30.09.2025 Reggiana - Spezia 1:1
    20.09.2025 Reggiana - Catanzaro 2:2
    13.09.2025 Juve Stabia - Reggiana 0:0
    29.08.2025 Reggiana - Empoli 3:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena853014:41018
    2Palermo844010:4616
    3Frosinone842213:8514
    4Cesena842213:11214
    5Monza84228:6214
    6Venezia834111:6513
    7Juve Stabia834110:8213
    8Reggiana833213:11212
    9Avellino833211:11012
    10Carrarese825113:9411
    11Sudtirol824212:11110
    12Empoli824211:14-310
    13Entella82339:11-29
    14Padova72237:9-28
    15Catanzaro70617:8-16
    16Pescara813413:16-36
    17Bari81348:15-76
    18Sampdoria81258:13-55
    19Mantova81256:14-85
    20Spezia80355:13-83

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation