Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
88% (486/552) | 80% (294/369) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.49 | 0.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.29 | 1.02 |
Total shots |
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16 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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34 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 17 |
Passes |
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88% (486/552) | 80% (294/369) |
Long passes |
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55% (18/33) | 25% (14/55) |
Passes in final third |
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84% (148/177) | 57% (38/67) |
Crosses |
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26% (7/27) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.84 | 0.66 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 12 |
Tackles |
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53% (9/17) | 56% (15/27) |
Duels won |
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55 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.02 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.98 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 13', Bonetti S. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Ciervo R. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Tavsan E. ⚽, Marras M. (A),
- 24', 1 - 2, Portanova M. ⚽, Girma N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bonetti S. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 46', Blesa J. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
- 47', Papetti A. 🟨,
- 50', Reinhart T. 🟨,
- 53', Ciervo R. 🟨,
- 54', Francesconi M. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 61', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 64', Tavsan E. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
- 71', Berti T. 🟨,
- 73', Girma N. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 74', Ciervo R. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 74', Castagnetti M. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 81', Reinhart T. ↓, Mendicino L. ↑,
- 81', Marras M. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 88', Bastoni S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cesena 53.1% | Draw 26.5% | Reggiana 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Cesena - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (2.05) |
3.7 ↑ (3.25) |
4.78 ↑ (3.6) |
0.2% (7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cesena will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Cesena is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Quaranta D.
(Injury)
Rozzio P.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Seculin A.
(Injury)
Stulac L.
(Injury)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Reggiana?
Cesena has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Cesena?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Reggiana were as follows:
09.02.2025
Reggiana
-
Cesena
0:1
23.11.2024
Cesena
-
Reggiana
1:1
20.02.2023
Cesena
-
Reggiana
1:2
19.10.2022
Reggiana
-
Cesena
0:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
12 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation