Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Mucera G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/438) | 74% (245/333) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (353/438) | 74% (245/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/66) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (87/136) | 60% (50/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Reinhart T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
- 51', Bonetti S. 🟨,
- 56', Bonetti S. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
- 68', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
- 68', Di Mariano F. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
- 73', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 77', Varas K. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 78', Bortolussi M. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Seghetti A. ⚽, Caprari G. (A),
- 82', Lambourde M. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 82', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Charlys ↑,
Chances of winning
Padova
43.5% | Draw
29.6% | Reggiana
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Padova - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.98) |
3.16 ↓
(3.22) |
3.49 ↓
(3.62) |
6.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Padova - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Padova: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Padova is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Surgery)
Barreca A.
(Muscle Injury)
Buonaiuto C.
(Inactive)
Harder J.
(Muscle Injury)
Lasagna K.
(Muscle Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bozzolan A.
(Foot Injury)
Girma N.
(Inactive)
Paz Y.
(Knee Injury)
Quaranta D.
(Inactive)
Sampirisi M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Rozzio P.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Reggiana?
Padova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Padova?
Reggiana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Reggiana were as follows:
13.12.2025
Reggiana
-
Padova
1:2
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
