Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (346/407) | 88% (470/535) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (346/407) | 88% (470/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (23/43) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (81/108) | 73% (89/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', Ciofi A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Portanova M. ⚽, Charlys (A),
- 30', Charlys 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Shpendi C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Bisoli D. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
- 57', Ciofi A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 59', Charlys ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Shpendi C. ⚽, Castagnetti M. (A),
- 74', Girma N. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
- 79', Rover M. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 79', Papetti A. ↓, Tripaldelli A. ↑,
- 79', Gondo C. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 80', Frabotta G. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
- 80', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 83', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 90', Rozzio P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Magni V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reggiana
26.1% | Draw
31% | Cesena
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Reggiana - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.56 ↑
(3.18) |
3 ↓
(3.12) |
2.18 ↓
(2.26) |
7.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reggiana - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Cesena (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Reggiana (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cesena (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2.
- Reggiana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cesena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cesena might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Reggiana: Bertagnoli M.
(Inactive)
Bonetti S.
(Inactive)
Magnani G.
(Leg Injury)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Marras M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Tosku F.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Cesena?
Reggiana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Reggiana?
Cesena has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Cesena were as follows:
04.10.2025
Cesena
-
Reggiana
1:2
09.02.2025
Reggiana
-
Cesena
0:1
23.11.2024
Cesena
-
Reggiana
1:1
20.02.2023
Cesena
-
Reggiana
1:2
19.10.2022
Reggiana
-
Cesena
0:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
