Perugia vs Reggina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Perugia - Reggina
Result
1:3
05/04/2023 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Perugia
40.4%
Draw
31.8%
Reggina
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 32.2% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 32.3% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.
  • Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Perugia - Reggina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.8)
    2.97
    (2.9)
    3.39
    (2.7)
    6.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Perugia - Reggina?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 45%76%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (12.91%), has project points - 44, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 8 (16.65%), has project points - 54, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 31, importance 33, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Reggio Calabria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Reggina were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Reggina - Perugia 2:3
    Latest results of Perugia
    01.04.2023 Perugia - Frosinone 1:1
    18.03.2023 Cittadella - Perugia 0:2
    01.03.2023 Perugia - Como 0:0
    24.02.2023 Pisa - Perugia 2:1
    Latest results of Reggina
    31.03.2023 Genoa - Reggina 1:0
    18.03.2023 Reggina - Cagliari 0:4
    04.03.2023 Reggina - Parma 0:1
    28.02.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Reggina 2:1
    25.02.2023 Reggina - Modena 2:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2