Result
1:3
05/04/2023 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Perugia
40.4% | Draw
31.8% | Reggina
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Reggina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.8) |
2.97 ↑
(2.9) |
3.39 ↑
(2.7) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Perugia - Reggina?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 45% – 76%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (12.91%), has project points - 44, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 8 (16.65%), has project points - 54, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 33, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Reggio Calabria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Reggina?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggina won against Perugia?
Reggina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Reggina were as follows:
22.10.2022
Reggina
-
Perugia
2:3
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Reggina
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Modena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Monza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Entella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Bari | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Mantova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Padova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Pescara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
