Result
1:3
05/04/2023 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Perugia
40.4% | Draw
31.8% | Reggina
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Reggina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.8) |
2.97 ↑
(2.9) |
3.39 ↑
(2.7) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Perugia - Reggina?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 45% – 76%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (12.91%), has project points - 44, has currently - 30, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 8 (16.65%), has project points - 54, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 33, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Reggio Calabria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Perugia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Reggina?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggina won against Perugia?
Reggina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Reggina were as follows:
22.10.2022
Reggina
-
Perugia
2:3
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Reggina
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
