Reilac Shiga vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
48
Corner kicks
14
Yellow cards
40
Total shots
517
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
19
Corner kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Hino T. 🟨,
  • 20', Nishiyama T. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Shiohama R. , Nishizawa K. (A),
  • 41', Tabei Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Akiyama S. , Hojo S. ,
  • 58', Hino T. , Okuda H. ,
  • 58', Tabei Y. , Miyake K. ,
  • 70', Hyon R. , Jojo K. ,
  • 70', Nishizawa K. , Tanaka Y. ,
  • 71', 0 - 2, Shiohama R. , Jojo K. (A),
  • 79', Hitomi T. , Minami T. ,
  • 79', Shiohama R. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 79', Yuba K. , Uehara M. ,
  • 84', Onodera K. 🟨,
  • 84', Toyoda A. , Sakurai T. ,
  • 89', Umiguchi G. , Yakushinji T. ,

Chances of winning


Reilac Shiga
25.1%
Draw
29%
Sagan Tosu
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 24.8% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 24.3% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reilac Shiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sagan Tosu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagan Tosu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Reilac Shiga - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.62
    (4.31)
    3.13
    (3.75)
    1.98
    (1.73)
    10%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Reilac Shiga - Sagan Tosu?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Reilac Shiga (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Reilac Shiga (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Reilac Shiga (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Reilac Shiga (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Reilac Shiga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Reilac Shiga has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tosu is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Reilac Shiga
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai10640021:626
    2Shonan Bellmare10711120:824
    3Blaublitz10701213:822
    4Montedio Yamagata10410512:1114
    5Tochigi SC10401518:1913
    6Sagamihara10311518:2012
    7Vanraure10303411:1312
    8Yokohama FC10310617:1711
    9Tochigi City10211612:239
    10Kusatsu10112610:277


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Iwaki10621118:1023
    2Kofu10610314:720
    3Omiya Ardija10601324:1519
    4Yamaga10511323:1318
    5Gifu10511317:1318
    6Fujieda MYFC10422216:1518
    7Iwata1013159:1310
    8Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo10220610:1510
    9Fukushima Utd10202615:288
    10Nagano1010369:266


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tokushima10800227:524
    2Toyama10530225:1521
    3Kochi United10611219:1321
    4Albirex Niigata10331314:1216
    5Kanazawa10232311:1614
    6Ehime10312412:1413
    7Kamatamare1040067:1812
    8Osaka1021347:1111
    9Imabari1021256:1110
    10Nara Club10202613:268


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki10900123:727
    2Kagoshima Utd10621115:723
    3Sagan Tosu10411411:1015
    4Renofa Yamaguchi10411412:1215
    5Oita Trinita10410513:1214
    6Kumamoto10401511:1413
    7Reilac Shiga940147:1013
    8Gainare Tottori922148:1211
    9Ryukyu10122510:169
    10Giravanz Kitakyushu1020178:187

          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )