Result
0:3
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 23
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (253/348) | 80% (378/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (253/348) | 80% (378/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (63/113) | 68% (63/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 72% (18/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 20', 0 - 1, Camara M. ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
- 45', 0 - 3, Camara M. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sy L. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
- 46', Akpa C. ↓, Senaya M. ↑,
- 47', Merlin Q. 🟨,
- 48', Ahamada N. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
- 48', Mara S. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
- 55', Owusu E. 🟨,
- 68', Lepaul E. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
- 68', Tamari M. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 76', Rongier V. 🟨,
- 78', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 78', Nordin A. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
- 81', Rouault A. 🟨,
- 85', Camara M. 🟨,
- 86', Danois K. ↓, Devernois T. ↑,
- 88', Camara M. ↓, Do Marcolino H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auxerre 32.3% | Draw 28.5% | Rennes 39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Auxerre - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.97 ↑ (2.95) |
3.34 ↓ (3.35) |
2.44 ↑ (2.38) |
4.7% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Rennes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Auxerre (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.25 - Auxerre (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.
- Auxerre has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rennes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Auxerre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Injury)
Faivre R.
(Injury)
Sierralta F.
(Injury)
Siwe T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Frankowski P.
(Injury)
Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kamara G.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Rennes?
Auxerre has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Auxerre?
Rennes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Rennes were as follows:
19.10.2025
Rennes
-
Auxerre
2:2
06.04.2025
Rennes
-
Auxerre
0:1
03.11.2024
Auxerre
-
Rennes
4:0
11.03.2023
Auxerre
-
Rennes
0:0
11.09.2022
Rennes
-
Auxerre
5:0
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2