Result
2:2
19/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 8
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (338/415) | 78% (307/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.72 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (338/415) | 78% (307/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (86/126) | 65% (62/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Danny Namaso ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Embolo B. ⚽, Blas L. (A),
- 45', Akpa C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Casimir J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 1, Fofana S. ⚽, Lepaul E. (A),
- 68', Danois K. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
- 68', Osman I. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 68', Casimir J. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 69', Rouault A. 🟨,
- 72', 2 - 2, Sinayoko L. (Pen),
- 77', El Azzouzi O. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 77', Embolo B. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
- 77', Blas L. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 90', Diousse A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rennes
52.7% | Draw
25.6% | Auxerre
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Rennes - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.74) |
3.76 ↓
(3.88) |
4.41 ↓
(4.49) |
4.1%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Auxerre?
Users Predictions:
Rennes will win
(34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 94.45%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rennes will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
- Rennes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Auxerre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rennes is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Diomande S.
(Thigh Injury)
Siwe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Frankowski P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kamara G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Auxerre: Coulibaly L.
(Shoulder Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Neck Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Auxerre?
Rennes has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Rennes?
Auxerre has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Auxerre were as follows:
06.04.2025
Rennes
-
Auxerre
0:1
03.11.2024
Auxerre
-
Rennes
4:0
11.03.2023
Auxerre
-
Rennes
0:0
11.09.2022
Rennes
-
Auxerre
5:0
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
