Rennes vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Rennes - Nice
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 33
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.05
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
84% (371/444)82% (338/411)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.361.11
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
07
Free Kicks
135
Passes
84% (371/444)82% (338/411)
Long passes
51% (33/65)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
78% (83/107)66% (81/123)
Crosses
8% (1/12)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.88
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
513
Tackles
68% (13/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4636
Clearances
2618
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.111.36
Goals prevented
1.11-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Kalimuendo A. , Brassier L. (A),
  • 45', Rosario P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mendy A. , Dante ,
  • 46', Abdi A. , Boga J. ,
  • 46', Sanson M. , Laborde G. ,
  • 62', Guessand E. , Diop S. ,
  • 62', Rosario P. , Louchet T. ,
  • 62', Tamari M. , Assignon L. ,
  • 75', Kone I. , Fofana S. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Kalimuendo A. , Matusiwa A. (A),
  • 82', Boga J. , Cho M. ,
  • 84', Cisse D. , James J. ,
  • 90', Kalimuendo A. , Meite M. ,
  • 90+4', Brassier L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rennes
29.2%
Draw
25.4%
Nice
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.3% 26.9% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.9% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Rennes aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Rennes - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (3.16)
    3.77
    (3.55)
    2.09
    (2.23)
    4.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Rennes - Nice?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Nice will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.22%96.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
    • In recent matches, Rennes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nice is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rennes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nice will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rennes: Seidu A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Calf Injury) Sishuba A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Nice were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Nice - Rennes 3:2
    13.01.2024 Rennes - Nice 2:0
    05.11.2023 Nice - Rennes 2:0
    06.05.2023 Nice - Rennes 2:1
    02.01.2023 Rennes - Nice 2:1
    Latest results of Rennes
    03.05.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:1
    26.04.2025 Lyon - Rennes 4:1
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5
    06.04.2025 Rennes - Auxerre 0:1
    Latest results of Nice
    02.05.2025 Nice - Reims 1:0
    25.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 1:3
    20.04.2025 Nice - Angers 2:1
    12.04.2025 Strasbourg - Nice 2:2
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2