Result
0:4
08/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (303/393) | 86% (524/611) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (303/393) | 86% (524/611) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (17/38) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (61/99) | 71% (84/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.71 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Rongier V. (A),
- 18', Peprah K. ↓, Dante ↑,
- 20', 0 - 2, Szymanski S. ⚽, Tamari M. (A),
- 36', Lepaul E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Dante 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 46', Boudaoui H. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
- 46', Szymanski S. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 70', Lepaul E. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
- 70', Tamari M. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 70', Nordin A. ↓, Mukiele N. ↑,
- 70', Diop S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Blas L. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
- 80', Louchet T. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
- 81', Cisse D. 🟨,
- 86', Gouveia T. 🟨,
- 88', Nagida M. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, Mukiele N. ⚽, Rongier V. (A),
Chances of winning
Nice
35.6% | Draw
27% | Rennes
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Nice - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.77) |
3.55 ↑
(3.47) |
2.55 ↑
(2.44) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nice - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Rennes will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 38.8% – 75.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Rennes (1.86) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH +0.25 - Nice (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Rennes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Rennes (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Boudaoui H.
(Injury)
Jansson I.
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Wahi E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Nice: Abdi A.
(Inactive)
Bard M.
(Illness)
Pereira E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Frankowski P.
(Injury)
Zabiri Y.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Rennes?
Nice has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Nice?
Rennes has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Rennes were as follows:
26.10.2025
Rennes
-
Nice
1:2
10.05.2025
Rennes
-
Nice
2:0
03.01.2025
Nice
-
Rennes
3:2
13.01.2024
Rennes
-
Nice
2:0
05.11.2023
Nice
-
Rennes
2:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
