Result
1:2
26/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 9
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (424/483) | 79% (274/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (424/483) | 79% (274/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 41% (15/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (117/147) | 59% (40/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 29', Camara M. 🟨,
- 31', Vanhoutte C. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Diop S. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Clauss J. ⚽, Boga J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Seidu A. ↓, Frankowski P. ↑,
- 46', Lepaul E. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 46', Clauss J. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 58', Fofana S. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
- 58', Camara M. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 61', Kevin ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 63', Merlin Q. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
- 66', Louchet T. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 2, Ait Boudlal A. ⚽, Frankowski P. (A),
- 68', Frankowski P. 🟨,
- 71', Abdi A. ↓, Bah J. ↑,
- 77', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 77', Diop S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 78', Cisse D. 🟨,
- 79', Embolo B. 🟨,
- 80', Beye H. 🟨,
- 84', Samba B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rennes
44.4% | Draw
26.8% | Nice
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Rennes - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.25) |
3.64 ↑
(3.55) |
3.36 ↑
(3.1) |
2.9%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rennes - Nice?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Nice will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 65.7% – 89.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Rennes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Nice (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Rennes (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.25 - Rennes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Rennes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rennes will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 17 - 68%). Nice (votes: 7 - 28%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Rennes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rennes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Dante
(Knee Injury)
Moffi T.
(Calf Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Nice?
Rennes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Rennes?
Nice has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Nice were as follows:
10.05.2025
Rennes
-
Nice
2:0
03.01.2025
Nice
-
Rennes
3:2
13.01.2024
Rennes
-
Nice
2:0
05.11.2023
Nice
-
Rennes
2:0
06.05.2023
Nice
-
Rennes
2:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
