Result
2:2
26/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (367/437) | 77% (239/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (367/437) | 77% (239/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 28% (13/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/98) | 59% (60/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Herivaux Z. ⚽,
- 33', Alfaro T. 🟨,
- 37', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
- 41', Calvillo E. 🟨,
- 43', Holstad C. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Diaz M. ⚽, Calvillo E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Ruiz R. 🟨,
- 57', Brito J. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Williams J. ⚽, Fuson N. (A),
- 66', Sorto C. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
- 66', Daroma F. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
- 67', Dikwa A. 🟨,
- 71', Herivaux Z. ↓, Stoneman G. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Holstad C. (Own goal),
- 77', Nodarse F. 🟨,
- 85', Nodarse F. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
- 85', Holstad C. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 87', Avila R. 🟨,
- 89', Cabrera A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Paso Locomotive
49% | Draw
26.1% | Rhode Island
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
El Paso Locomotive - Rhode Island Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.06) |
3.59 ↑
(3.4) |
3.76 ↑
(3.34) |
6.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- El Paso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Rhode Island has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of home games.
- In this match, El Paso is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, El Paso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Rhode Island?
El Paso Locomotive has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rhode Island won against El Paso Locomotive?
Rhode Island has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Paso Locomotive - Rhode Island were as follows:
26.06.2024
Rhode Island
-
El Paso Locomotive
3:0
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Latest results of Rhode Island
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | North Carolina ✔ | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39:39 | 0 | 41 |
| 5 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 34:47 | -13 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
