Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (248/342) | 74% (285/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (248/342) | 74% (285/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 38% (30/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (80/123) | 61% (74/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 100% (10/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
- 23', Herivaux Z. 🟨,
- 45+2', Musa J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Fuson N. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 0, Musa J. (Own goal),
- 66', Kwizera J. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
- 66', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Ybarra M. ↑,
- 67', Herivaux Z. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 78', Williams R. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
- 79', Murphy J. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 82', Brito J. ↓, Stoneman G. ↑,
- 85', Zalinsky J. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
- 88', Mabika A. 🟥,
- 90+2', Amoh E. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Rhode Island
47.2% | Draw
27% | Indy Eleven
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Rhode Island - Indy Eleven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.9) |
3.46 ↓
(3.5) |
3.62 ↓
(3.74) |
6.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rhode Island - Indy Eleven?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Indy Eleven will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Rhode Island is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Rhode Island won against Indy Eleven?
Rhode Island has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Rhode Island?
Indy Eleven has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Indy Eleven were as follows:
12.07.2025
Indy Eleven
-
Rhode Island
1:0
03.11.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Rhode Island
2:3
07.08.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Rhode Island
1:0
05.07.2024
Rhode Island
-
Indy Eleven
3:3
Latest results of Rhode Island
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
