Rijeka vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.38
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
82% (423/513)69% (207/302)
Yellow Cards
17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.07
Total shots
236
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
132
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
82% (423/513)69% (207/302)
Long passes
52% (30/58)39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
68% (115/169)56% (44/78)
Crosses
19% (5/27)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.29
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1914
Tackles
53% (9/17)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.070.84
Goals prevented
-0.930.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Rubio W. 🟨,
  • 45', Gnali J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Naoum G. 🟨,
  • 60', Pons P. 🟨,
  • 60', Miramon 🟨,
  • 67', Adu Adjei D. , Cop D. ,
  • 67', Gojak A. , Menalo L. ,
  • 75', Rubio W. , Ekpolo G. ,
  • 75', Naoum G. , Jimmy Suarez ,
  • 75', Bajic R. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 90+3', Milicevic H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Saborit E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ivanovic D. , Roberge V. ,
  • 90+4', Pons P. , Mathias Gonzalez ,
  • 90+7', Majstorovic A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rijeka
47.2%
Draw
27.9%
AEK Larnaca
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 28.2% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 28.8% 26.4%

Rijeka - AEK Larnaca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.02
(2.1)
3.4
(3.35)
3.77
(3.49)
5.5%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - AEK Larnaca?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 34.3%74.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Rijeka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rijeka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Jankovic N. (Red Card) Kreilach D. (Injury) Skoric M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rijeka: Bogojevic B. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rijeka
    22.11.2025 Rijeka - Hajduk Split 5:0
    09.11.2025 Varaždin - Rijeka 1:0
    06.11.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Rijeka 1:1
    01.11.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka 2:1
    27.10.2025 Rijeka - Osijek 4:2
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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