Rijeka vs AEK Larnaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.38
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
82% (423/513)69% (207/302)
Yellow Cards
17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.07
Total shots
236
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
132
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
82% (423/513)69% (207/302)
Long passes
52% (30/58)39% (24/61)
Passes in final third
68% (115/169)56% (44/78)
Crosses
19% (5/27)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.29
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1914
Tackles
53% (9/17)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
1232
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.070.84
Goals prevented
-0.930.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Rubio W. 🟨,
  • 45', Gnali J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Naoum G. 🟨,
  • 60', Pons P. 🟨,
  • 60', Miramon 🟨,
  • 67', Adu Adjei D. , Cop D. ,
  • 67', Gojak A. , Menalo L. ,
  • 75', Rubio W. , Ekpolo G. ,
  • 75', Naoum G. , Jimmy Suarez ,
  • 75', Bajic R. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 90+3', Milicevic H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Saborit E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ivanovic D. , Roberge V. ,
  • 90+4', Pons P. , Mathias Gonzalez ,
  • 90+7', Majstorovic A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rijeka
47.2%
Draw
27.9%
AEK Larnaca
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 28.2% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 28.8% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Rijeka - AEK Larnaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.1)
    3.4
    (3.35)
    3.77
    (3.49)
    5.5%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rijeka - AEK Larnaca?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 34.3%74.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - AEK Larnaca (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - AEK Larnaca (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - AEK Larnaca (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 28.6%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Rijeka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rijeka might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Jankovic N. (Red Card) Kreilach D. (Injury) Skoric M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rijeka: Bogojevic B. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rijeka
    22.11.2025 Rijeka - Hajduk Split 5:0
    09.11.2025 Varaždin - Rijeka 1:0
    06.11.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Rijeka 1:1
    01.11.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Rijeka 2:1
    27.10.2025 Rijeka - Osijek 4:2
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2