Result
0:0
27/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 4
- Referee: Hennessey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 13 |
Germany | RTL+ |
Greece | ANT 1+ |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 15 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (423/513) | 69% (207/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (423/513) | 69% (207/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (115/169) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Rubio W. 🟨,
- 45', Gnali J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Naoum G. 🟨,
- 60', Pons P. 🟨,
- 60', Miramon 🟨,
- 67', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 67', Gojak A. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
- 75', Rubio W. ↓, Ekpolo G. ↑,
- 75', Naoum G. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
- 75', Bajic R. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 90+3', Milicevic H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Saborit E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ivanovic D. ↓, Roberge V. ↑,
- 90+4', Pons P. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 90+7', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka 47.2% | Draw 27.9% | AEK Larnaca 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Rijeka - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↓ (2.1) |
3.4 ↑ (3.35) |
3.77 ↑ (3.49) |
5.5% (6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rijeka - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 34.3% – 74.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - AEK Larnaca (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - AEK Larnaca (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - AEK Larnaca (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - AEK Larnaca (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 2 - 28.6%). AEK Larnaca (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Rijeka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AEK Larnaca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rijeka might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Jankovic N.
(Red Card)
Kreilach D.
(Injury)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Bogojevic B.
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against AEK Larnaca?
Rijeka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Rijeka?
AEK Larnaca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal