Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 34
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (222/317) | 71% (207/290) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (222/317) | 71% (207/290) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/66) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (34/72) | 49% (47/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Bakic O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Zuta L. 🟨,
- 63', Cop D. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Djouahra N. ⚽, Fruk T. (A),
- 72', Bakic O. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 72', Kavelj A. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
- 78', Rukavina G. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 79', Durakovic E. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
- 79', Laca I. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
- 86', Santini I. 🟨,
- 90+1', Djouahra N. ↓, Orec A. ↑,
- 90+2', Pozo I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Šibenik
15.3% | Draw
25.2% | Rijeka
59.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijeka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-5%)
Šibenik - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.14 ↑
(4.8) |
3.71 ↑
(3.45) |
1.58 ↓
(1.76) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Šibenik - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
Rijeka will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Šibenik won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Šibenik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Šibenik: Cvek L.
(Yellow Cards)
Nizic Z.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Devetak M.
(Yellow Cards)
Djalovic R.
(Yellow Cards)
Jankovic N.
(Yellow Cards)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Šibenik won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Šibenik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Rijeka?
Šibenik has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Šibenik?
Rijeka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Šibenik - Rijeka were as follows:
07.03.2025
Rijeka
-
Šibenik
1:1
08.12.2024
Šibenik
-
Rijeka
0:1
22.09.2024
Rijeka
-
Šibenik
3:0
08.04.2023
Rijeka
-
Šibenik
1:0
28.01.2023
Šibenik
-
Rijeka
1:2
Latest results of Šibenik
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rijeka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Osijek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Slaven Belupo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
