Rinky Hijikata vs Sebastian Baez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bordeaux Challenger Men Rinky Hijikata - Sebastian Baez
Result
2:1
15/05/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
63%81%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (43/68)66% (47/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (23/40)47% (8/17)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
34% (24/71)37% (25/68)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (9/17)43% (17/40)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)14% (1/7)
Winners
3230
Unforced Errors
4341
Net Points Won
50% (10/20)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
61% (66/108)63% (55/88)
Return Points Won
38% (33/88)39% (42/108)
Total Points Won
51% (99/196)49% (97/196)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
56% (15/27)44% (12/27)

Chances of winning


Rinky Hijikata
16.4%
Sebastian Baez
83.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 68.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rinky Hijikata's form might have worsened.
  • Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rinky Hijikata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rinky Hijikata - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.66
    (3)

    1.12
    (1.36)
    7%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Rinky Hijikata - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hijikata is ranked ATP: 82. Baez is ranked ATP: 33.
    • Hijikata has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Baez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Baez is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hijikata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rinky Hijikata - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
    11.03.2023 Rinky Hijikata - Sebastian Baez 0:2
    Latest results of Rinky Hijikata
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nakashima B. (1)Bye
    2Kukushkin M. (Alt)Kotov P.2 : 0
    3Basilashvili N. (Alt)Ramos A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Zapata Miralles B. (Q)Halys Q. (5)0 : 2
    5Griekspoor T. (3)Bye
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Harris B.1 : 2
    7Atmane T. (WC)Galan D. E.2 : 0
    8Nagal S. (Alt)Gaston H. (7)0 : 2
    9Kovacevic A. (8)Hemery C. (Q)1 : 2
    10Shevchenko A.Grenier H. (Alt)2 : 0
    11Herbert P.Daniel T.2 : 0
    12ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (4)
    13Dzumhur D. (6)Bourgue M. (WC)2 : 0
    14Hassan B. (Alt)Barrere G. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    15Hijikata R.Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    16ByeBaez S. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Nakashima B. (1)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    2Basilashvili N.Halys Q. (5)2 : 0
    3Griekspoor T. (3)Harris B.2 : 0
    4Atmane T.Gaston H. (7)2 : 1
    5Hemery C.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    6Herbert P.Mpetshi Perricard G. (4)0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D. (6)Hassan B.1 : 2
    8Hijikata R.Baez S. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nakashima B. (1)Basilashvili N.1 : 2
    2Griekspoor T. (3)Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Shevchenko A.Mpetshi Perricard G. (4)0 : 2
    4Hassan B.Hijikata R.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Basilashvili N.Griekspoor T. (3)2 : 0
    2Mpetshi Perricard G. (4)Hijikata R.2 : 0

    Final
    1Basilashvili N.Mpetshi Perricard G. (4)1 : 2