Result
2:1
14/04/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 69% (33/48) | 57% (31/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 41% (9/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/4 | 4/9 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 31% (15/48) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 55% (12/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/9 | 3/4 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 40% (2/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (42/69) | 53% (40/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (36/76) | 39% (27/69) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (78/145) | 46% (67/145) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 25% (3/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 44% (11/25) |
Chances of winning
Tomas Machac
56.7% | Sebastian Baez
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.76) |
|
2.19 ↑
(2.03) |
5.1%
(6.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Baez will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 35.2% – 84.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Machac is ranked ATP: 53. Baez is ranked ATP: 65.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Machac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tomas Machac won against Sebastian Baez?
Tomas Machac has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Tomas Machac?
Sebastian Baez has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
08.04.2025
Tomas Machac
-
Sebastian Baez
2:1
Latest results of Tomas Machac
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Virtanen O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (Q) | Sonego L. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Navone M. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Ofner S. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Medjedovic H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Borges N. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Etcheverry T. M. | Draper J. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Norrie C. (7) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Opelka R. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Munar J. | Jodar R. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Khachanov K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Fils A. (9) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Nakashima B. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Buse I. | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Machac T. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Sonego L. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Medjedovic H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Borges N. | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Norrie C. (7) | Quinn E. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Jodar R. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fils A. (9) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Musetti L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Machac T. | Rublev A. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Norrie C. (7) | Jodar R. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Fils A. (9) | Musetti L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Fils A. (9) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rublev A. (5) | Fils A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
