Result
1:2
25/01/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (282/363) | 74% (241/326) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/102) | 48% (38/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 27% (3/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 10 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Kiko Bondoso ⚽, Vrousai M. (A),
- 34', Soares F. 🟨,
- 38', Clayton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Paulo Victor ↓, Derick Poloni ↑,
- 50', Pastor 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Clayton ⚽, Pohlmann O. (A),
- 60', Morais T. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
- 61', Menino M. 🟨,
- 62', Miszta C. 🟨,
- 63', Ribeiro T. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 63', Soares F. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 63', Pastor ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
- 71', Richards O. 🟨,
- 72', Derick Poloni 🟨,
- 75', Pohlmann O. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
- 77', Matias M. ↓, Raul Silva ↑,
- 82', Petrasso F. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Tomane (Pen),
- 84', Raul Silva 🟨,
- 86', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Pantalon R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Farense
39.2% | Draw
30.6% | Rio Ave
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Farense - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.49) |
3.09 ↓
(3.15) |
3.15 ↑
(2.88) |
5.4%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Farense: Claudio Falcao
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Rio Ave?
Farense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Farense?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Rio Ave were as follows:
17.08.2024
Rio Ave
-
Farense
1:0
16.03.2024
Farense
-
Rio Ave
1:1
29.10.2023
Rio Ave
-
Farense
3:4
13.12.2022
Rio Ave
-
Farense
2:1
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 59 | 76 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
