Result
09/03/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tondela
44.1% | Draw
28.8% | Rio Ave
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Tondela - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.09) |
3.28 ↓
(3.32) |
3.51 ↓
(3.57) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tondela - Rio Ave?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1.
- Tondela has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rio Ave has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tondela could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Rio Ave?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Tondela?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Rio Ave were as follows:
05.10.2025
Rio Ave
-
Tondela
3:0
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
