Rio Grande Valley vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
0:3
20/05/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rio Grande Valley
30.8%
Draw
28.6%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 28.7% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 29.7% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.5)
    3.22
    (3.1)
    2.26
    (2.5)
    8.8%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 11 (19.51%), project points - 40, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (34%), a small chance of qtrs (11%), a very small chance of semis (4%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Tampa Bay has the most likely position - 2 (18.25%), project points - 52, currently - 14, a good chance of playoffs (94%), a good chance of qtrs (58%), a chance of semis (32%), a chance of final (17%), a small chance of win league (8%).
    • This event has small quality 16, small importance 14, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Rio Grande Valley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )