Result
0:3
20/05/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
Chances of winning
Rio Grande Valley
30.8% | Draw
28.6% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.5) |
3.2 ↑
(3.1) |
2.28 ↓
(2.5) |
8.8%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 11 (19.51%), project points - 40, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (34%), a small chance of qtrs (11%), a very small chance of semis (4%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Tampa Bay has the most likely position - 2 (18.25%), project points - 52, currently - 14, a good chance of playoffs (94%), a good chance of qtrs (58%), a chance of semis (32%), a chance of final (17%), a small chance of win league (8%).
- This event has small quality 16, small importance 14, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Rio Grande Valley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Rio Grande Valley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Rio Grande Valley?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 55:19 | 36 | 69 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Hartford Athletic | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 46:32 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 5 | North Carolina ✔ | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39:39 | 0 | 41 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:27 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Detroit | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:49 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 44 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | El Paso | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 37 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Lexington | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 35 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:48 | -26 | 26 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
