Result
0:3
20/05/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP
- Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
Chances of winning
Rio Grande Valley
30.8% | Draw
28.6% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Rowdies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.5) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
2.26 ↓
(2.5) |
8.8%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 11 (19.51%), project points - 40, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (34%), a small chance of qtrs (11%), a very small chance of semis (4%), a very small chance of final (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Tampa Bay has the most likely position - 2 (18.25%), project points - 52, currently - 14, a good chance of playoffs (94%), a good chance of qtrs (58%), a chance of semis (32%), a chance of final (17%), a small chance of win league (8%).
- This event has small quality 16, small importance 14, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Rio Grande Valley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Grande Valley won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Rio Grande Valley has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Rio Grande Valley?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Grande Valley - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
Latest results of Rio Grande Valley
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:15 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
