Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.24 | 1.26 |
Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 6 |
Passes |
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79% (304/385) | 76% (223/292) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.24 | 1.26 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.76 | 1.36 |
Total shots |
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12 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
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79% (304/385) | 76% (223/292) |
Long passes |
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60% (43/72) | 41% (20/49) |
Passes in final third |
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57% (52/91) | 71% (65/91) |
Crosses |
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38% (6/16) | 31% (5/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.64 | 0.94 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 19 |
Fouls |
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10 | 13 |
Tackles |
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78% (7/9) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
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36 | 34 |
Clearances |
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9 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.36 | 0.76 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.64 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 33', Rivas J. 🟨,
- 35', Trujillo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Salazar T. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Yony Gonzalez ⚽, Caballero J. (A),
- 59', Gonzalez J. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 59', Quinones J. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 68', Lencina G. (Pen),
- 69', 1 - 1, Lencina G. ⚽,
- 70', Perez K. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Lozano D. ⚽,
- 78', Rovira B. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 80', Farinez W. 🟨,
- 90', Lozano D. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 90', Rivas J. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑,
- 90+5', Caballero J. ↓, Escobar Salcedo J. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2jp74j24
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima 67.5% | Draw 21.5% | Rionegro Águilas 11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↑ (1.38) |
4.29 ↑ (4.1) |
8.49 ↓ (8.5) |
7.2% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Deportes Tolima has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Deportes Tolima will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Rionegro Águilas?
Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Deportes Tolima?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
02.11.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
12.04.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
02.12.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:1
18.11.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Deportes Tolima
0:4
29.07.2023
Deportes Tolima
-
Rionegro Águilas
1:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )