Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 20
Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	ViX Latin America

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.26
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
79% (304/385)	76% (223/292)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	1.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.76	1.36
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
22	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
79% (304/385)	76% (223/292)
Long passes
60% (43/72)	41% (20/49)
Passes in final third
57% (52/91)	71% (65/91)
Crosses
38% (6/16)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.94
Throw-ins
26	19
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
78% (7/9)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
36	34
Clearances
9	25
Interceptions
3	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.36	0.76
Goals prevented
-0.64	-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Quinones J. 🟨,
33', Rivas J. 🟨,
35', Trujillo C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Salazar T. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Yony Gonzalez ⚽, Caballero J. (A),
59', Gonzalez J. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
59', Quinones J. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
68', Lencina G. (Pen),
69', 1 - 1, Lencina G. ⚽,
70', Perez K. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Lozano D. ⚽,
78', Rovira B. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
80', Farinez W. 🟨,
90', Lozano D. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
90', Rivas J. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑,
90+5', Caballero J. ↓, Escobar Salcedo J. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2jp74j24

Chances of winning

Deportes Tolima
67.5%

Draw
21.5%

Rionegro Águilas
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

22.5%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

21%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	4.29 ↑ (4.1)	8.49 ↓ (8.5)	7.2% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
Deportes Tolima has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rionegro Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportes Tolima is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Deportes Tolima will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Rionegro Águilas?

Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Deportes Tolima?

Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:

02.11.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima 0:1

12.04.2024 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 2:1

02.12.2023 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 0:1

18.11.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima 0:4

29.07.2023 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 1:1

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

19.05.2025 Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima 1:3 ✺

15.05.2025 Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

09.05.2025 Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena 3:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Deportivo Cali - Deportes Tolima 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

18.05.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 0:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira 3:3 ✺

30.04.2025 Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	14	8	3	3	25:12	13	27
2	Junior	13	7	4	2	26:16	10	25
3	Fortaleza	14	6	7	1	19:13	6	25
4	Ind. Medellin	12	7	3	2	24:17	7	24
5	Atl. Nacional	13	6	5	2	22:15	7	23
6	Deportes Tolima	13	6	2	5	16:12	4	20
7	Santa Fe	13	5	5	3	15:11	4	20
8	Dep. Cali	14	5	5	4	19:19	0	20
9	Alianza	13	5	4	4	16:16	0	19
10	Llaneros	14	5	4	5	11:13	-2	19
11	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
12	Pereira	14	3	6	5	12:14	-2	15
13	U. Magdalena	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15
14	America De Cali	13	3	5	5	10:11	-1	14
15	Aguilas	13	3	5	5	16:19	-3	14
16	Millonarios	13	4	2	7	14:19	-5	14
17	Envigado	14	2	7	5	11:14	-3	13
18	Chico	13	2	5	6	10:21	-11	11
19	La Equidad	13	2	5	6	7:18	-11	11
20	Dep. Pasto	13	2	4	7	12:18	-6	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )