Rionegro Águilas vs Deportes Tolima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 20
Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	1.03
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
75% (254/338)	84% (479/569)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.42	1.16
Total shots
11	16
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
5	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
12	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
8	6
Passes
75% (254/338)	84% (479/569)
Long passes
47% (39/83)	33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
68% (96/142)	68% (83/122)
Crosses
26% (8/31)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.70
Throw-ins
22	25
Fouls
6	8
Tackles
64% (7/11)	75% (3/4)
Duels won
31	30
Clearances
12	29
Interceptions
8	0
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.16	0.42
Goals prevented
-0.84	-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Perez K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Moreno Y. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
46', Puerta M. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
59', Ramirez M. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
62', Perez K. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
67', Nieto J. ↓, Riascos L. ↑,
67', Lozano F. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
67', Gonzalez M. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
68', Caballero J. ↓, Plata A. ↑,
78', Hernandez D. ↓, Morelo W. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Valencia E. ⚽,
83', Arrieta C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ⚽,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2h7kdwe4

Chances of winning

Rionegro Águilas
39.4%

Draw
30.6%

Deportes Tolima
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

31.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

31.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rionegro Águilas's performance.

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rionegro Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.14)	3.08 ↑ (2.94)	3.11 ↑ (2.34)	5.2% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rionegro Águilas: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Deportes Tolima?

Rionegro Águilas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Rionegro Águilas?

Deportes Tolima has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima were as follows:

25.05.2025 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 1:2

02.11.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima 0:1

12.04.2024 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 2:1

02.12.2023 Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas 0:1

18.11.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima 0:4

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

08.11.2025 Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas 2:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Envigado 1:0 ✺

24.10.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas 1:5 ✺

18.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar 1:0 ✺

12.10.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

07.11.2025 Deportes Tolima - Llaneros SA 3:1 ✺

30.10.2025 Unión Magdalena - Deportes Tolima 0:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali 2:1 ✺

20.10.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima 0:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Deportes Tolima - Envigado 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	12	9	0	3	26:9	17	27
2	Dep. Pasto	12	7	3	2	18:14	4	24
3	Once Caldas	13	6	5	2	24:17	7	23
4	Inter Bogotu00e1	13	5	6	2	17:18	-1	21
5	Millonarios	13	6	2	5	23:14	9	20
6	America De Cali	11	6	2	3	16:8	8	20
7	Deportes Tolima	12	5	5	2	15:9	6	20
8	Bucaramanga	11	4	7	0	16:6	10	19
9	Junior	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
10	Dep. Cali	13	4	4	5	14:12	2	16
11	Aguilas	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
12	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
13	Santa Fe	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15
14	Fortaleza	12	3	5	4	13:18	-5	14
15	Ind. Medellin	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	3	2	8	11:23	-12	11
17	Alianza	12	2	5	5	7:19	-12	11
18	Chico	12	2	2	8	10:20	-10	8
19	Cucuta	12	1	4	7	16:25	-9	7
20	Pereira	11	0	5	6	10:22	-12	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )