Result
3:1
28/03/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (405/494) | 74% (220/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (405/494) | 74% (220/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 42% (30/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (123/168) | 51% (38/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Sandoval L. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
- 37', Pedrozo D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 46', Mosquera Y. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Sandoval L. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
- 54', Pedrozo D. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 64', Henao C. 🟨,
- 72', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 72', Moreno Y. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 72', Hernandez J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 72', Ordonez C. ↓, Jimenez L. ↑,
- 78', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 82', Jopito ↓, De La Rosa W. ↑,
- 82', Mejia J. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽, Renteria A. (A),
- 87', Mera J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Valencia E. ⚽, Rovira B. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bpd57rb9
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
67.5% | Draw
21% | Jaguares de Córdoba
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.37) |
4.48 ↓
(4.6) |
8.2 ↓
(8.5) |
6.2%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
- Recent performances by Deportes Tolima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jaguares de Córdoba is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:12. (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Jaguares de Córdoba?
Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Córdoba won against Deportes Tolima?
Jaguares de Córdoba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba were as follows:
19.08.2024
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Deportes Tolima
0:2
15.02.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
2:0
06.10.2023
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali ✔ | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
