Rionegro Águilas vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	1.36
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
73% (197/269)	82% (356/435)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	1.85
Total shots
8	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
10	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
9	16
Passes
73% (197/269)	82% (356/435)
Long passes
41% (25/61)	47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
51% (38/75)	65% (81/124)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.13	1.29
Throw-ins
18	23
Fouls
16	9
Tackles
69% (9/13)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
32	43
Clearances
33	23
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.85	0.91
Goals prevented
-0.15	-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Garcia Jordan 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Yony Gonzalez (Pen),
24', Morelo W. 🟨,
45+1', Mancilla H. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Oliveros A. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Florez K. ⚽, Cuero S. (A),
60', Morelo W. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
66', Diaz Y. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
66', Ricaurte A. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
73', Amaya A. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
73', Marulanda J. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Florez K. ⚽, Aristizabal E. (A),
78', Caballero J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
80', Benitez Hernandez R. A. 🟨,
81', Marulanda J. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
82', Lozano F. 🟨,
89', Alfonzo D. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
89', Lozano F. ↓, Rivaldo J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Garcia Jordan (Own goal),
90+4', Rivaldo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rionegro Águilas
45.8%

Draw
32.5%

Fortaleza CEIF
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

31%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

32.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.1)	3.09 ↑ (3.02)	4.77 ↑ (3.85)	0% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Rionegro Águilas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Fortaleza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Rionegro Águilas has had a series of away games.
Rionegro Águilas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Fortaleza CEIF?

Rionegro Águilas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Rionegro Águilas?

Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:

17.02.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas 2:1

14.11.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas 0:1

28.04.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

26.07.2025 América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla 2:3 ✺

13.07.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Rionegro Águilas 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF

27.07.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar 2:2 ✺

24.07.2025 Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF 0:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	6	4	2	0	14:6	8	14
2	Atl. Nacional	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
3	Llaneros	6	3	2	1	6:2	4	11
4	Fortaleza	6	2	4	0	8:6	2	10
5	Ind. Medellin	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
6	Deportes Tolima	6	3	1	2	5:4	1	10
7	Santa Fe	6	2	3	1	7:6	1	9
8	Pereira	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
9	Bucaramanga	4	2	1	1	8:6	2	7
10	Envigado	5	1	3	1	6:6	0	6
11	Chico	6	1	3	2	6:7	-1	6
12	La Equidad	6	1	3	2	3:5	-2	6
13	Dep. Cali	6	1	3	2	7:11	-4	6
14	Dep. Pasto	3	1	2	0	6:5	1	5
15	U. Magdalena	5	1	2	2	3:7	-4	5
16	Alianza	6	1	2	3	5:10	-5	5
17	America De Cali	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
18	Aguilas	6	0	4	2	6:8	-2	4
19	Once Caldas	5	0	2	3	6:10	-4	2
20	Millonarios	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )