Rionegro Águilas vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.36
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
73% (197/269)82% (356/435)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.911.85
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
916
Passes
73% (197/269)82% (356/435)
Long passes
41% (25/61)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
51% (38/75)65% (81/124)
Crosses
18% (2/11)10% (2/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.131.29
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
169
Tackles
69% (9/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3243
Clearances
3323
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.850.91
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Garcia Jordan 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Yony Gonzalez (Pen),
  • 24', Morelo W. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Mancilla H. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Oliveros A. , Hernandez D. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Florez K. , Cuero S. (A),
  • 60', Morelo W. , Benitez Hernandez R. A. ,
  • 66', Diaz Y. , Escorcia L. ,
  • 66', Ricaurte A. , Solis J. ,
  • 73', Amaya A. , Arroyo A. ,
  • 73', Marulanda J. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Florez K. , Aristizabal E. (A),
  • 78', Caballero J. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 80', Benitez Hernandez R. A. 🟨,
  • 81', Marulanda J. , Cabezas E. ,
  • 82', Lozano F. 🟨,
  • 89', Alfonzo D. , Lozano D. ,
  • 89', Lozano F. , Rivaldo J. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Garcia Jordan (Own goal),
  • 90+4', Rivaldo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rionegro Águilas
45.8%
Draw
32.5%
Fortaleza CEIF
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 31% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 32.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.1)
    3.09
    (3.02)
    4.77
    (3.85)
    0%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Rionegro Águilas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fortaleza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rionegro Águilas has had a series of away games.
    • Rionegro Águilas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas 2:1
    14.11.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Rionegro Águilas 0:1
    28.04.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Fortaleza CEIF 1:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Bogotu00e1852114:12217
    2Atl. Nacional650115:41115
    3Dep. Pasto84319:8115
    4America De Cali741211:5613
    5Once Caldas834113:10313
    6Deportes Tolima833210:7312
    7Junior740312:10212
    8Bucaramanga725010:4611
    9Dep. Cali832310:7311
    10Aguilas73229:8111
    11Llaneros82429:8110
    12Santa Fe924310:12-210
    13Fortaleza82429:12-310
    14Jaguares de Cordoba73138:13-510
    15Millonarios82248:10-28
    16Ind. Medellin814310:12-27
    17Cucuta813412:16-46
    18Pereira70437:11-44
    19Chico81167:13-64
    20Alianza70343:14-113

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )