Result
3:2
04/10/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (236/299) | 80% (270/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (236/299) | 80% (270/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 69% (35/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/107) | 76% (71/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Ramirez M. ⚽, Morelo W. (A),
- 9', Molina F. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 2, Morelo W. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
- 14', Mancilla H. 🟨,
- 21', Lerma J. 🟨,
- 35', Puerta M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 2, Molina F. ⚽, Mercado J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ramos N. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 2, Marquez R. (Pen),
- 54', Molina F. 🟨,
- 56', Mancilla H. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 56', Ramirez M. ↓, Charales F. ↑,
- 56', Caballero J. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
- 61', Contreras J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 62', Lerma J. ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
- 67', Hinojosa R. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
- 68', Cantillo F. 🟥,
- 72', Lozano F. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 72', Puerta M. ↓, Palacio B. ↑,
- 73', Lara Vasquez N. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 2, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
- 85', Marquez R. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
- 90+16', Mercado J. 🟨,
- 90+18', Charales F. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bder76ry
Chances of winning
Unión Magdalena
35.7% | Draw
31.2% | Rionegro Águilas
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.75) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
2.83 ↑
(2.6) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Unión Magdalena (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.
- Recent form of Unión Magdalena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rionegro Águilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Rionegro Águilas?
Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Unión Magdalena?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:
16.04.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Unión Magdalena
1:1
14.09.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Unión Magdalena
2:1
02.04.2023
Unión Magdalena
-
Rionegro Águilas
3:1
22.09.2022
Rionegro Águilas
-
Unión Magdalena
2:0
Latest results of Unión Magdalena
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
