Unión Magdalena vs Rionegro Águilas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	0.67
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
79% (236/299)	80% (270/336)
Yellow Cards
4	4
Red Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.59	0.63
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
10	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
16	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
79% (236/299)	80% (270/336)
Long passes
38% (15/39)	69% (35/51)
Passes in final third
69% (74/107)	76% (71/94)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.92
Throw-ins
7	11
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
75% (6/8)	100% (9/9)
Duels won
43	32
Clearances
28	21
Interceptions
1	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.63	1.59
Goals prevented
-1.37	-1.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ramirez M. ⚽, Morelo W. (A),
9', Molina F. 🟨,
12', 0 - 2, Morelo W. ⚽, Ramirez M. (A),
14', Mancilla H. 🟨,
21', Lerma J. 🟨,
35', Puerta M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Molina F. ⚽, Mercado J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ramos N. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
50', 2 - 2, Marquez R. (Pen),
54', Molina F. 🟨,
56', Mancilla H. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
56', Ramirez M. ↓, Charales F. ↑,
56', Caballero J. ↓, Lozano D. ↑,
61', Contreras J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
62', Lerma J. ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
67', Hinojosa R. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
68', Cantillo F. 🟥,
72', Lozano F. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
72', Puerta M. ↓, Palacio B. ↑,
73', Lara Vasquez N. 🟨,
76', 3 - 2, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
85', Marquez R. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
90+16', Mercado J. 🟨,
90+18', Charales F. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bder76ry

Chances of winning

Unión Magdalena
35.7%

Draw
31.2%

Rionegro Águilas
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.8%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.75)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	2.83 ↑ (2.6)	6.8% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.
Recent form of Unión Magdalena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rionegro Águilas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Rionegro Águilas?

Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Unión Magdalena?

Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas were as follows:

16.04.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena 1:1

14.09.2023 Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena 2:1

02.04.2023 Unión Magdalena - Rionegro Águilas 3:1

22.09.2022 Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena 2:0

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

27.09.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Unión Magdalena 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

28.09.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Llaneros SA - Rionegro Águilas 0:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Envigado - Rionegro Águilas 1:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Millonarios 1:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas 4:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	14	8	3	3	25:12	13	27
2	Junior	14	7	4	3	26:17	9	25
3	Fortaleza	14	6	7	1	19:13	6	25
4	Atl. Nacional	14	6	6	2	23:16	7	24
5	Ind. Medellin	13	7	3	3	25:19	6	24
6	Deportes Tolima	15	7	2	6	18:14	4	23
7	Santa Fe	13	5	5	3	15:11	4	20
8	Dep. Cali	14	5	5	4	19:19	0	20
9	Alianza	14	5	5	4	19:19	0	20
10	Once Caldas	14	5	4	5	17:16	1	19
11	Llaneros	14	5	4	5	11:13	-2	19
12	America De Cali	15	4	5	6	14:15	-1	17
13	Aguilas	14	4	5	5	18:20	-2	17
14	Millonarios	14	5	2	7	16:20	-4	17
15	Envigado	15	3	7	5	13:15	-2	16
16	Pereira	14	3	6	5	12:14	-2	15
17	U. Magdalena	14	4	3	7	17:24	-7	15
18	Chico	14	2	6	6	11:22	-11	12
19	Dep. Pasto	14	2	5	7	15:21	-6	11
20	La Equidad	15	2	5	8	9:22	-13	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )