Juventud de Las Piedras vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
117
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Pollero R. ,
  • 39', Rossi I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Perez F. , Rodriguez T. ,
  • 46', Guerrero S. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Vera A. ,
  • 56', Jourdan E. , Triver F. ,
  • 62', Peralta R. , Nongoy P. ,
  • 62', Escobar M. , Moreira M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Barrandeguy F. ,
  • 70', Vera A. 🟨,
  • 78', Pollero R. , Lopez I. ,
  • 78', De Leon F. , Correa T. ,
  • 81', Martinez G. , Dominguez F. ,
  • 84', Lopez I. 🟨,
  • 87', Urretaviscaya J. 🟨,
  • 87', Guerrero S. , Boselli J. ,
  • 90+4', Moreira M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Juventud de Las Piedras
54.5%
Draw
26.7%
River Plate Montevideo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 27.6% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 21% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud de Las Piedras that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.71)
    3.47
    (3.33)
    4.99
    (4.97)
    7%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Juventud de Las Piedras will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juventud de Las Piedras will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Juventud is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    13.04.2025 River Plate Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo751113:6716
    2Penarol751112:6616
    3Montevideo City742111:6514
    4Maldonado741211:8313
    5Liverpool M73227:5211
    6Danubio732211:10111
    7Defensor Sp73226:5111
    8Wanderers73226:9-311
    9Central Esp73138:7110
    10Nacional73138:8010
    11Cerro Largo73048:809
    12Albion72238:808
    13Boston River71243:7-45
    14Progreso71245:11-65
    15Juventud71157:12-54
    16CA Cerro70253:11-82

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