Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Gissi D. 🟨,
- 33', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↓, Triver F. ↑,
- 40', Almeida C. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Gissi D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez J. P. ↓, Lorenzi M. ↑,
- 55', Vera A. ↓, Orono G. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 62', Piriz F. 🟨,
- 67', Olmos T. 🟨,
- 68', Pachame S. 🟨,
- 70', Pachame S. ↓, Cayetano A. ↑,
- 72', De Leon F. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 72', Lopez I. ↓, Correa T. ↑,
- 75', Carrizo L. ↓, Barros C. ↑,
- 75', Vergara H. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
- 76', Frascarelli D. 🟨,
- 83', Wurth V. ↓, Redin M. ↑,
- 90', Lemos L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Plaza Colonia
46% | Draw
30.1% | River Plate Montevideo
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Colonia's performance.River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Colonia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.38) |
3.08 ↑
(2.96) |
3.89 ↑
(3.32) |
6.8%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
- Recent form of Plaza Colonia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- River Plate is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Plaza Colonia won against River Plate Montevideo?
Plaza Colonia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate Montevideo won against Plaza Colonia?
River Plate Montevideo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
19.06.2025
Plaza Colonia
-
River Plate Montevideo
0:0
29.03.2025
River Plate Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
1:2
26.08.2023
Plaza Colonia
-
River Plate Montevideo
0:1
11.02.2023
River Plate Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
2:0
Latest results of Plaza Colonia
Latest results of River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Central Esp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Danubio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Boston River | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Juventud | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
