Plaza Colonia vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
148
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', Gissi D. 🟨,
  • 33', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. , Triver F. ,
  • 40', Almeida C. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 1, Gissi D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hernandez J. P. , Lorenzi M. ,
  • 55', Vera A. , Orono G. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ,
  • 62', Piriz F. 🟨,
  • 67', Olmos T. 🟨,
  • 68', Pachame S. 🟨,
  • 70', Pachame S. , Cayetano A. ,
  • 72', De Leon F. , Perez F. ,
  • 72', Lopez I. , Correa T. ,
  • 75', Carrizo L. , Barros C. ,
  • 75', Vergara H. , Acosta B. ,
  • 76', Frascarelli D. 🟨,
  • 83', Wurth V. , Redin M. ,
  • 90', Lemos L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Plaza Colonia
46%
Draw
30.1%
River Plate Montevideo
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 31.9% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 29.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Colonia's performance.
  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Colonia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.38)
    3.08
    (2.96)
    3.89
    (3.32)
    6.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Plaza Colonia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 1.
    • Recent form of Plaza Colonia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • River Plate is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Plaza Colonia won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plaza Colonia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    19.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo 0:0
    29.03.2025 River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 1:2
    26.08.2023 Plaza Colonia - River Plate Montevideo 0:1
    11.02.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 2:0
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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