Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Progreso - River Plate Montevideo
Result
2:1
23/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
spainSpainGol Play
uruguayUruguayVTV+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
95
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
63
Corner Kicks
104
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, De Los Santos J. , Orono G. (A),
  • 17', Estol M. , Alfonso M. ,
  • 35', Alfonso M. 🟨,
  • 42', Ordonez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ordonez C. , Maldonado L. ,
  • 46', Copelotti M. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Maldonado L. ,
  • 51', Correa T. 🟨,
  • 63', Correa T. , Jourdan E. ,
  • 68', Fernandez N. , Lopez P. ,
  • 68', Viera M. , Rivero J. ,
  • 74', Orono G. , Lopez I. ,
  • 75', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 80', De Leon F. , Cachi M. ,
  • 80', Colombino A. , Martin M. ,
  • 80', Maldonado L. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Gonzalez N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Progreso
35.1%
Draw
30%
River Plate Montevideo
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.4% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 28% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Progreso - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.81)
    3.11
    (3.26)
    2.66
    (2.41)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Progreso - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 3.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Progreso won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:21 (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    09.06.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    21.04.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Progreso 2:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    09.03.2025 Progreso - Boston River 2:2
    23.02.2025 Danubio - Progreso 1:1
    07.02.2025 Cerro Largo - Progreso 4:1
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1