River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division River Plate Montevideo - Progreso
Result
0:0
14/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Pollero R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Correa T. , Chavero J. ,
  • 61', De Leon F. , Quintana J. ,
  • 66', Copelotti M. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 66', Colombino A. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 71', Pollero R. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Vera A. , Escobar M. ,
  • 75', Lopez F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 83', Lemos L. , Triver F. ,
  • 87', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 87', Silva G. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
35%
Draw
28.6%
Progreso
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 29.8% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.5% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.52)
    3.25
    (3.11)
    2.55
    (2.78)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • River Plate is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Progreso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:1
    19.10.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    09.06.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    21.04.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Progreso 2:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    31.08.2025 Boston River - Progreso 2:1
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    09.08.2025 Progreso - Cerro Largo 1:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1392226:111529
    2Nacional1283124:101424
    3Montevideo City1373323:15824
    4Liverpool M1264216:12422
    5CA Cerro1371513:13022
    6Defensor Sp1371511:13-222
    7Boston River1256120:81221
    8Cerro Largo1354415:14119
    9Progreso1252515:14117
    10Danubio1343614:12215
    11Racing Montevideo1335511:20-914
    12Miramar1233616:19-312
    13Juventud133376:12-612
    14River Plate132477:17-1010
    15Plaza Colonia132299:22-138
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

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