River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division River Plate Montevideo - Progreso
Result
0:0
14/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Sacarelo B. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
77
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
77
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Pollero R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Correa T. , Chavero J. ,
  • 61', De Leon F. , Quintana J. ,
  • 66', Copelotti M. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 66', Colombino A. , Pinheiro A. ,
  • 71', Pollero R. , Lopez I. ,
  • 72', Vera A. , Escobar M. ,
  • 75', Lopez F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 83', Lemos L. , Triver F. ,
  • 87', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 87', Silva G. , De Los Santos M. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
35%
Draw
28.6%
Progreso
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 29.8% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 28.5% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.52)
    3.25
    (3.11)
    2.55
    (2.78)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 0.
    • River Plate is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Progreso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:1
    19.10.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 2:0
    09.06.2024 Progreso - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    21.04.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Progreso 2:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    31.08.2025 Boston River - Progreso 2:1
    24.08.2025 Progreso - Danubio 1:0
    09.08.2025 Progreso - Cerro Largo 1:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

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