Result
03/05/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Progreso
35% | Draw
30.8% | Cerro Largo
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Progreso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Progreso - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.67) |
2.99 ↓
(3.12) |
2.71 ↑
(2.67) |
8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 12)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Cerro Largo?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Progreso?
Cerro Largo has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Cerro Largo were as follows:
09.08.2025
Progreso
-
Cerro Largo
1:2
07.02.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Progreso
4:1
30.11.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Progreso
2:1
04.06.2024
Progreso
-
Cerro Largo
0:1
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Montevideo City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Progreso | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Juventud | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
