Sporting Cristal vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo
Result
1:1
25/05/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Referee: Garay C. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV

Chances of winning


Sporting Cristal
14.8%
Draw
22.1%
River Plate Montevideo
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 26.8% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 26.9% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.2
    (3.64)
    4.25
    (3.51)
    1.48
    (1.98)
    7.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sporting Cristal in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match River Plate is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting Cristal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    19.04.2023 River Plate Montevideo - Sporting Cristal 4:2
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)