Result
2:3
08/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South |
 Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/337) | 77% (350/454) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/337) | 77% (350/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (11/49) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 60% (47/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽, Martinez Quarta L. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Rivero O. ⚽, Souza de Almeida L. (A),
- 26', 1 - 2, Colidio F. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 28', Chala A. 🟨,
- 37', Contreras J. ↓, De Arruabarrena I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 48', 1 - 3, Mastantuono F. ⚽, Miguel Borja (A),
- 49', 2 - 3, Martinez Quarta L. (Own goal),
- 66', Valiente J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez N. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
- 68', Colidio F. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 72', Perez E. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
- 75', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
- 79', Jesus Trindade ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 79', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 79', Corozo J. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
- 82', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
- 85', Mastantuono F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 85', Montiel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
23.6% | Draw
28.4% | River Plate
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.99 ↑
(3.88) |
3.32 ↓
(3.44) |
1.97 ↑
(1.96) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Barcelona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- River Plate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, River Plate is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Barcelona: Caicedo F.
(Muscle Injury)
Oyola B.
(Inactive)
Pinargote Lara K. D.
(Muscle Injury)
Rojas J.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S.
(Injury)
Diaz P.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Montiel G.
(Inactive)
Rojas M.
(Inactive)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against River Plate?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
River Plate has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - River Plate were as follows:
08.04.2025
River Plate
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
0:0
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of River Plate
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
