Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        05/10/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 28
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 China | Migu | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.83 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 46% | 54% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 66% (213/322) | 74% (278/377) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.83 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.39 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 10 | 14 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 16 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 66% (213/322) | 74% (278/377) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 38% (28/73) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (65/110) | 55% (50/91) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 14% (3/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.25 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 39 | 32 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 16 | 8 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 94% (17/18) | 74% (17/23) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 32 | 46 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 28 | 15 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.45 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.45 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 31', Xie Hongyu 🟨, 
 - 45+1', 1 - 0, Muhtar Ular ⚽, Tai Jianfeng (A), 
 - 45+2', Muhtar Ular 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 46', Lu J. ↓, Abdukerim O. ↑, 
 - 46', Chen Kerui ↓, Chen Yanxin ↑, 
 - 46', Muhtar Ular ↓, Liu Y. ↑, 
 - 62', Lu Jiabin ↓, Han Tianlin ↑, 
 - 62', Ou Xueqian ↓, Liu Jing ↑, 
 - 68', Zhong Weihong ↓, Liu Yang ↑, 
 - 75', Liu Fanyi ↓, Dong Xu ↑, 
 - 75', Shohret R. ↓, Jinghang Z. ↑, 
 - 90+4', Chen Yu 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Lanzhou Longyuan  52.1% | Draw  34.1% | Wenzhou Professional  13.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Lanzhou Longyuan - Wenzhou Professional Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.21 ↓ (2.45) | 
			   3.37 ↑ (3.08) | 
			   8.36 ↑ (2.66) | 
			   -13.1% (10.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Lanzhou Longyuan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Wenzhou has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  - In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
 - In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanzhou Longyuan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
 - Including home match between the teams, Lanzhou Longyuan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lanzhou Longyuan won against Wenzhou Professional?
                    
                    
                        
                            Lanzhou Longyuan has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Wenzhou Professional won against Lanzhou Longyuan?
                    
                    
                        
                             Wenzhou Professional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Lanzhou Longyuan - Wenzhou Professional were as follows:
                                                        
                                31.08.2025 
                                Wenzhou Professional 
                                - 
                                Lanzhou Longyuan 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.09.2024 
                                Wenzhou Professional 
                                - 
                                Lanzhou Longyuan 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.08.2024 
                                Lanzhou Longyuan 
                                - 
                                Wenzhou Professional 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lanzhou Longyuan                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Wenzhou Professional                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62:17 | 45 | 73 | 
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 42:18 | 24 | 64 | 
| 3 | Shenzhen | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 55 | 
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 | 
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 | 
| 6 | Nantong Haimen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 52:34 | 18 | 49 | 
| 7 | Shandong Taishan B | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 48 | 
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 41 | 
      Promotion ~ League One