AFC Wimbledon vs Rochdale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 39
  • Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
44.1%
Draw
28.4%
Rochdale
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 28.7% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 28.2% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Rochdale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.96)
    3.32
    (3.26)
    3.41
    (3.99)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Rochdale?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Wimbledon has the most likely position - 17 (18.48%), project points - 55, currently - 46, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (82.47%), project points - 34, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (98%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 5, very small match rating 6. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 4.
    • Wimbledon is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Rochdale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Wimbledon will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Rochdale were as follows:
    22.10.2022 Rochdale - AFC Wimbledon 1:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Rochdale
    25.03.2023 Crawley Town - Rochdale 2:0
    18.03.2023 Rochdale - Swindon Town 4:4
    11.03.2023 Grimsby Town - Rochdale 1:0
    25.02.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale 1:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley331811456:342265
    2Cambridge Utd33189648:262263
    3MK Dons331710662:332961
    4Notts Co33187852:322061
    5Swindon341941156:401661
    6Crewe341581150:401053
    7Chesterfield331314652:43953
    8Salford321641245:43252
    9Barnet3413111043:37650
    10Walsall321481040:35550
    11Colchester321310948:341449
    12Grimsby321310945:37849
    13Accrington331371336:34246
    14Fleetwood321281243:42144
    15Oldham311012934:30442
    16Gillingham3210111140:41-141
    17Shrewsbury341081633:52-1938
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere33981645:57-1235
    20Bristol Rovers33932132:56-2430
    21Crawley346101833:54-2128
    22Barrow32761933:50-1727
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport33662132:60-2824

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League