AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 38
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.08
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
1412
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
63
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
612
Offsides
41
Fouls
126
Throw-ins
1825
Touches in the Opposition Box
2215
Passes
79% (391/493)72% (231/320)
Passes in the final third
63% (104/165)60% (64/107)
Crosses
29% (6/21)14% (3/21)
Tackles
50% (7/14)29% (2/7)
Clearances Total
2838
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 60', 1 - 0, Browne M. , Lewis J. (A),
  • 65', Whitfield B. , Campbell D. ,
  • 80', Gotts R. , Mahoney C. ,
  • 80', Spence K. , Fletcher I. ,
  • 80', Smith T. , Acquah E. ,
  • 81', Hutchinson S. , Ogundere I. ,
  • 81', Browne M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 81', Tilley J. , Furlong J. ,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Stevens M. , Neufville J. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 1, Campbell D. , Newby E. (A),
  • 90+1', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Kelly J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Mahoney C. , Fletcher I. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
47.2%
Draw
29.3%
Barrow
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 28.2% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 30.8% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Barrow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.84)
    3.17
    (3.32)
    4.03
    (4.43)
    6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Barrow?
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Wimbledon will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury) Lewis J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Barrow: Vassell T. (Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Barrow were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Barrow - AFC Wimbledon 1:3
    10.02.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 2:0
    21.10.2023 Barrow - AFC Wimbledon 0:0
    25.03.2023 Barrow - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    27.08.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 0:1
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Barrow
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2
    04.03.2025 Notts County - Barrow 1:2
    27.02.2025 Barrow - Carlisle United 0:1
    22.02.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Barrow 3:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League