Result
3:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 39
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, East R. ⚽, Dieseruvwe E. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Lynch O. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
- 37', 2 - 2, Moss D. ⚽, Allarakhia T. (A),
- 45+5', Dieseruvwe E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Smith T. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
- 70', Acquaye B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
- 70', Milnes B. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
- 73', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
- 73', Allarakhia T. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Henderson I. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
- 82', Mols S. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
- 88', Kurtaran T. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
- 90+1', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rochdale
69.6% | Draw
18.8% | Tamworth
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Rochdale - Tamworth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.33) |
4.9 ↑
(4.59) |
7.81 ↓
(8.53) |
8.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 12).
- Rochdale is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tamworth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tamworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rochdale is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Rochdale won against Tamworth?
Rochdale has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tamworth won against Rochdale?
Tamworth has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rochdale - Tamworth were as follows:
13.01.2026
Tamworth
-
Rochdale
1:2
22.11.2025
Tamworth
-
Rochdale
1:2
25.02.2025
Tamworth
-
Rochdale
1:1
17.12.2024
Rochdale
-
Tamworth
3:0
Latest results of Rochdale
Latest results of Tamworth
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rochdale | 39 | 30 | 4 | 5 | 77:31 | 46 | 94 |
| 2 | York City | 39 | 28 | 8 | 3 | 104:36 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 39 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 80:52 | 28 | 74 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 39 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 71:55 | 16 | 73 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 64:45 | 19 | 68 |
| 7 | FC Halifax | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 8 | Southend | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 61:36 | 25 | 61 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 57 |
| 10 | Woking | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 56:46 | 10 | 52 |
| 11 | Wealdstone | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 52:61 | -9 | 48 |
| 12 | Tamworth | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 52:66 | -14 | 48 |
| 13 | Boston Utd | 39 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 52:61 | -9 | 47 |
| 14 | Altrincham | 38 | 14 | 4 | 20 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
| 15 | Solihull Moors | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 38 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 41:55 | -14 | 44 |
| 17 | Sutton | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 53:66 | -13 | 43 |
| 18 | Aldershot | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 63:73 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 | Eastleigh | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 48:68 | -20 | 42 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 36:63 | -27 | 37 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 39 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 45:82 | -37 | 37 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 57:81 | -24 | 34 |
| 23 | Braintree | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31:60 | -29 | 34 |
| 24 | Truro | 39 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 38:67 | -29 | 28 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
