Result
3:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 39
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | DAZN |
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 Indonesia | DAZN |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | DAZN |
 Latvia | DAZN |
 Lithuania | DAZN |
 Malaysia | DAZN |
 Mexico | DAZN |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
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 North-macedonia | DAZN |
 Norway | DAZN |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
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 Poland | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | DAZN |
 Russia | DAZN |
 Serbia | DAZN |
 Slovenia | DAZN |
 South-africa | DAZN |
 South-korea | DAZN |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | DAZN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 Thailand | DAZN |
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 Vietnam | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 13', 1 - 0, East R. ⚽, Dieseruvwe E. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Lynch O. ⚽, Mols S. (A),
- 37', 2 - 2, Moss D. ⚽, Allarakhia T. (A),
- 45+5', Dieseruvwe E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Smith T. ↓, Barlow A. ↑,
- 70', Acquaye B. ↓, McGlinchey T. ↑,
- 70', Milnes B. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
- 73', Rodney D. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
- 73', Allarakhia T. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 2, Henderson I. ⚽, Barlow A. (A),
- 82', Mols S. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
- 88', Kurtaran T. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
- 90+1', East R. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rochdale
69.6% | Draw
18.8% | Tamworth
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Rochdale - Tamworth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.33) |
4.9 ↑
(4.59) |
7.81 ↓
(8.53) |
8.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 12).
- Rochdale is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tamworth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tamworth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rochdale is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Rochdale will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rochdale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Rochdale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Rochdale won against Tamworth?
Rochdale has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tamworth won against Rochdale?
Tamworth has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rochdale - Tamworth were as follows:
13.01.2026
Tamworth
-
Rochdale
1:2
22.11.2025
Tamworth
-
Rochdale
1:2
25.02.2025
Tamworth
-
Rochdale
1:1
17.12.2024
Rochdale
-
Tamworth
3:0
Latest results of Rochdale
Latest results of Tamworth
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | York City | 44 | 32 | 8 | 4 | 110:40 | 70 | 104 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 44 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 85:39 | 46 | 102 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 44 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 83:51 | 32 | 89 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 91:58 | 33 | 84 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 44 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 76:60 | 16 | 81 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 76:50 | 26 | 78 |
| 7 | Southend | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:40 | 30 | 72 |
| 8 | FC Halifax | 44 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 66:60 | 6 | 67 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 62 |
| 10 | Woking | 43 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 66:53 | 13 | 59 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 58 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 43 | 15 | 9 | 19 | 64:70 | -6 | 54 |
| 13 | Solihull Moors | 43 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 67:68 | -1 | 52 |
| 14 | Boston Utd | 43 | 13 | 13 | 17 | 56:65 | -9 | 52 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 44 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 50:63 | -13 | 51 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 44 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 47:61 | -14 | 51 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 53:84 | -31 | 50 |
| 18 | Sutton | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 58:76 | -18 | 47 |
| 19 | Aldershot | 43 | 13 | 7 | 23 | 68:81 | -13 | 46 |
| 20 | Eastleigh | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 55:79 | -24 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley Town ✔ | 44 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 38:71 | -33 | 39 |
| 22 | Morecambe ✔ | 44 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 66:95 | -29 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree ✔ | 44 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 36:69 | -33 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro ✔ | 44 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 40:71 | -31 | 31 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Brackley Town is Relegated to
Morecambe is Relegated to
Braintree is Relegated to
Truro is Relegated to
