Excelsior vs Roda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Excelsior - Roda
Result
1:1
02/03/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 28
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.52
Ball Possession
70%30%
Goal Attempts
219
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
60
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
142
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Free Kicks
1011
Offsides
01
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
3217
Touches in the Opposition Box
3911
Passes
85% (529/624)66% (176/266)
Passes in the final third
75% (175/232)55% (41/75)
Crosses
25% (8/32)33% (4/12)
Tackles
40% (4/10)56% (10/18)
Clearances Total
2428
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Breij M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Vancsa Z. , Leijten R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Pierie K. , Duijvestijn L. (A),
  • 60', Veendorp K. , Beerten L. ,
  • 67', Omorowa R. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 67', Koglin B. 🟨,
  • 73', Sanches Fernandes D. , Donkor J. ,
  • 78', Kother T. 🟨,
  • 83', Breij M. , Schwirten J. ,
  • 90', Duijvestijn L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Excelsior
54.8%
Draw
23.4%
Roda
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 22.3% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 21.4% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Excelsior - Roda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.63)
    3.99
    (4.22)
    4.28
    (4.76)
    7.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Excelsior - Roda?
  • Users Predictions: Excelsior will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Excelsior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Roda: Jansen K. (Knee Injury) Schmidt L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roda: Bucker K. (Knee Injury) Kother T. (Injury) Treichel J. (Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Roda were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Roda - Excelsior 3:0
    Latest results of Excelsior
    21.02.2025 Telstar - Excelsior 1:3
    16.02.2025 Excelsior - Helmond Sport 1:1
    10.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Excelsior 3:2
    01.02.2025 Excelsior - Vitesse 1:3
    26.01.2025 Excelsior - ADO Den Haag 1:0
    Latest results of Roda
    21.02.2025 Roda - Den Bosch 0:0
    14.02.2025 Dordrecht - Roda 2:1
    07.02.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:3
    01.02.2025 MVV Maastricht - Roda 3:2
    24.01.2025 Roda - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag981027:72025
    2Cambuur1072121:12923
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Willem II1052312:13-117
    6Dordrecht1044215:11416
    7Waalwijk1043316:14215
    8Den Bosch942320:18214
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10De Graafschap933315:14112
    11Venlo1040614:17-312
    12Maastricht103259:14-511
    13Oss1032516:22-611
    14Eindhoven FC103259:16-711
    15FC Emmen1031615:21-610
    16Almere City930619:1549
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse631211:101-2

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )