Result
1:1
20/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 33
- Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (371/441) | 83% (307/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (371/441) | 83% (307/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 58% (30/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (88/135) | 76% (54/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Dekkers S. ⚽, Absalem A. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Kalinauskas T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
- 59', Paulissen M. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 67', Bajrami L. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
- 67', Dekkers S. ↓, Poll T. ↑,
- 72', Llonch P. ↓, Geerts D. ↑,
- 78', Makanza N. 🟨,
- 82', Lukowicz M. 🟨,
- 82', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Leipold A. ↑,
- 83', Kruiver J. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 89', Breij M. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Roda
60.5% | Draw
22% | Helmond Sport
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Roda - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.63) |
4.25 ↑
(4.1) |
5.17 ↑
(4.5) |
7.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Roda - Helmond Sport?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 3.
- Roda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Helmond Sport is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Roda is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roda won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:23. (average 2.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:10. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Helmond Sport?
Roda has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Roda?
Helmond Sport has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Helmond Sport were as follows:
10.08.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Roda
1:3
11.03.2025
Roda
-
Helmond Sport
3:2
21.10.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Roda
2:1
23.12.2023
Helmond Sport
-
Roda
3:3
11.08.2023
Roda
-
Helmond Sport
4:1
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
