Jong Utrecht vs Roda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
22/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 21
  • Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.55
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
86% (456/533)77% (274/354)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.363.11
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
86% (456/533)77% (274/354)
Long passes
46% (24/52)46% (31/68)
Passes in final third
70% (98/141)72% (68/94)
Crosses
26% (6/23)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.66
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1315
Tackles
100% (7/7)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
1628
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
3.111.36
Goals prevented
0.110.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Beerten L. , Muller J. P. (A),
  • 29', 0 - 2, Kruiver J. , Griffith I. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 2, El Arguioui R. , van der Wegen S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jensen M. , Dundas N. ,
  • 53', Breij M. 🟨,
  • 56', Lajud Martinez D. , Seedorf C. ,
  • 57', Menzo B. , Plantinga V. ,
  • 65', Seedorf C. 🟨,
  • 66', van den Hurk A. , Cooper-Love J. ,
  • 66', van Ommeren J. , Jenner I. ,
  • 72', Mukeh J. , Viereck N. ,
  • 84', Kruiver J. 🟨,
  • 88', Treichel J. 🟨,
  • 89', Viereck N. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 3, Breij M. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Utrecht
36.8%
Draw
23.8%
Roda
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 23.4% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 22.7% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Jong Utrecht - Roda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.56)
    3.9
    (3.99)
    2.38
    (2.32)
    7.3%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Roda?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Roda will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Utrecht: 19.5%68.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Roda (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Roda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 1.
    • Jong Utrecht is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Roda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Paulissen M. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z. (Inactive) Jensen M. (Injury) Ohio N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Roda: Jansen K. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Roda were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Roda - Jong Utrecht 1:1
    24.01.2025 Roda - Jong Utrecht 3:0
    22.11.2024 Jong Utrecht - Roda 1:3
    26.01.2024 Roda - Jong Utrecht 0:0
    01.09.2023 Jong Utrecht - Roda 1:0
    Latest results of Jong Utrecht
    Latest results of Roda
    17.12.2025 Roda - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2
    12.12.2025 De Graafschap - Roda 2:3
    05.12.2025 Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3
    30.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Roda 0:0
    25.11.2025 Roda - Dordrecht 1:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )