Roda vs Vitesse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.551.17
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
53
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
104
Passes
88% (492/562)75% (262/349)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.551.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.99
Total shots
168
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
379
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1310
Passes
88% (492/562)75% (262/349)
Long passes
59% (20/34)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
80% (148/185)58% (51/88)
Crosses
28% (9/32)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.25
Throw ins
1824
Fouls
1013
Tackles
64% (7/11)47% (8/17)
Duels won
5447
Clearances
2141
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.990.80
Goals prevented
-0.010.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Bannis N. , Achouitar O. (A),
  • 25', Schwarz R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pinto J. , Zonneveld N. ,
  • 46', Griffith I. , Cooper-Love J. ,
  • 46', van den Hurk A. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 65', Van den Buijs D. , Deom J. ,
  • 65', El Meliani R. , Seedorf C. ,
  • 69', Tahaui A. , te Veluwe K. ,
  • 69', Bannis N. , Huth E. ,
  • 69', Hoogewerf D. , Thenu X. ,
  • 76', Paulissen M. , Wiedesheim-Paul R. ,
  • 80', Buttner A. , Olde Keizer C. ,
  • 82', Huth E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 82', te Veluwe K. 🟨,
  • 84', Kalinauskas T. 🟨,
  • 87', Seedorf C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Roda
45.5%
Draw
24.9%
Vitesse
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 24.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 24.9% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Roda - Vitesse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.92)
    3.78
    (3.8)
    3.15
    (3.37)
    7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Roda - Vitesse?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Vitesse will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 43.5%83.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Vitesse (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Vitesse (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vitesse (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Roda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Vitesse were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Vitesse - Roda 2:2
    19.04.2025 Vitesse - Roda 3:0
    26.11.2024 Roda - Vitesse 3:0
    Latest results of Roda
    13.03.2026 Cambuur - Roda 1:1
    06.03.2026 Roda - Jong PSV 0:2
    27.02.2026 Den Bosch - Roda 2:2
    22.02.2026 Roda - MVV Maastricht 2:0
    13.02.2026 Waalwijk - Roda 1:2
    Latest results of Vitesse
    13.03.2026 Vitesse - Almere City 1:3
    08.03.2026 De Graafschap - Vitesse 1:4
    27.02.2026 Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:0
    20.02.2026 Willem II - Vitesse 3:0
    14.02.2026 Vitesse - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Almere City361741573:591455
    6Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    7Roda3614121057:50754
    8Jong PSV351651463:59453
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Venlo361261847:55-842
    13FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    18Helmond36991840:61-2136
    19Oss358111646:61-1535
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie