Result
2:2
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 13
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (242/314) | 90% (513/568) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (242/314) | 90% (513/568) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (40/76) | 70% (79/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 33% (2/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Hoogewerf D. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Muller J. P. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 1, Hoogewerf D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑,
- 62', Muller J. P. 🟨,
- 68', Griffith I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
- 69', Beerten L. ↓, Jansen K. ↑,
- 69', Maiorano L. 🟨,
- 70', Markelo N. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,
- 70', Pinto J. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
- 70', Buttner A. ↓, Bakker J. ↑,
- 83', Foss J. ↓, Takidine I. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Maiorano L. ⚽, Tol M. (A),
- 85', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Breij M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Huth E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitesse
33.8% | Draw
25.2% | Roda
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitesse that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vitesse - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↓
(3.2) |
3.74 ↓
(3.85) |
2.27 ↑
(1.97) |
6.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Roda?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Roda will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3.
- Vitesse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Roda is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Vitesse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Roda will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Roda: Griffith I.
(Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Roda?
Vitesse has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Vitesse?
Roda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Roda were as follows:
19.04.2025
Vitesse
-
Roda
3:0
26.11.2024
Roda
-
Vitesse
3:0
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 21 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
