Result
 
                    2:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        24/10/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Eerste Divisie - Round 13
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Netherlands | Canal+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.73 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 35% | 65% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (242/314) | 90% (513/568) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.73 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.03 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 19 | 22 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 19 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (242/314) | 90% (513/568) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 58% (28/48) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 53% (40/76) | 70% (79/113) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 10% (2/21) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.98 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 11 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 19 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 33% (2/6) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 49 | 46 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 19 | 18 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.90 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.10 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Hoogewerf D. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A), 
- 27', 1 - 1, Muller J. P. ⚽, 
- 38', 2 - 1, Hoogewerf D. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑, 
- 62', Muller J. P. 🟨, 
- 68', Griffith I. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑, 
- 69', Beerten L. ↓, Jansen K. ↑, 
- 69', Maiorano L. 🟨, 
- 70', Markelo N. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑, 
- 70', Pinto J. ↓, Bannis N. ↑, 
- 70', Buttner A. ↓, Bakker J. ↑, 
- 83', Foss J. ↓, Takidine I. ↑, 
- 84', 2 - 2, Maiorano L. ⚽, Tol M. (A), 
- 85', Tahaui A. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑, 
- 90+2', Breij M. 🟨, 
- 90+5', Huth E. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Vitesse 33.8%
 | Draw 25.2%
 | Roda 41%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitesse that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Vitesse - Roda Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.83 ↓ (3.2)
 | 3.74 ↓ (3.85)
 | 2.27 ↑ (1.97)
 | 6.2% (8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Vitesse - Roda?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            8 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Roda will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 2 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3.
- Vitesse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Roda is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Vitesse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Roda will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Roda: Griffith I.
(Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.5:0.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Roda?
                    
                    
                        
                            Vitesse has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Vitesse?
                    
                    
                        
                             Roda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Roda were as follows:
                                                        
                                19.04.2025 
                                Vitesse 
                                - 
                                Roda 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.11.2024 
                                Roda 
                                - 
                                Vitesse 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Vitesse                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 | 
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 | 
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 | 
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 | 
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 | 
| 6 | Willem II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 21 | 
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 | 
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 | 
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 | 
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 | 
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 | 
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 | 
| 14 | Maastricht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 15 | 
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 | 
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 | 
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 | 
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 | 
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 | 
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 | 
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