Result
2:0
15/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 10
- Referee: Kaplenkov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | MATCH! Planeta |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Reyna Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gueye P. 🟨,
- 61', Simonov K. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Gueye P. ⚽,
- 65', Uridia M. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
- 66', Pusi B. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
- 66', Magomedov B. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
- 67', Simonov K. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
- 71', Timoshenko I. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
- 72', Ushatov K. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
- 75', Cherov V. ↓, Kovalev A. ↑,
- 79', Magkeev S. 🟨,
- 79', Gueye P. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
- 86', Reyna Y. ↓, Kuzmichev I. ↑,
- 90+2', Gordyushenko A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rodina Moscow
40.7% | Draw
32% | Fakel
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Rodina Moscow - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.2) |
2.97 ↓
(3.08) |
3.48 ↓
(3.67) |
5.4%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Rodina Moscow - Fakel?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fakel will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Rodina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Rodina could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rodina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Rodina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Fakel?
Rodina Moscow has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Rodina Moscow?
Fakel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodina Moscow - Fakel were as follows:
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 51 |
| 2 | Ural | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 41 |
| 3 | Rodina Moscow | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Chelyabinsk | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 37:25 | 12 | 33 |
| 7 | SKA Khabarovsk | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 31 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 30:26 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 24 |
| 13 | Torpedo Moscow | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Ulyanovsk | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 16 | Ufa | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 20 |
| 17 | Saratov | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10:23 | -13 | 16 |
| 18 | FK Chayka | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19:47 | -28 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
